Norway Eliteserien – Molde v Bodø/Glimt Preview (17/10/20)

Match Preview

Molde

MFK returned to winning ways by beating Brann 2-1 last time out. The defending champions endured a difficult August and September, at one stage losing 6 out of 8 games. We have to remember that Champions League qualifying has been mixed in during that period and once again Molde will be distracted in the next few months by their participation in the Europa League group stage. Defensive problems have plagued them all season, including injuries. MFK signed left back Birk Risa from Odd and ditched John Kitolano. Risa is doubtful with injury ahead of this game along with centre back Martin Bjørnbak. The Molde midfield and attack should be at full strength though. Despite a couple of recent hiccups it is worth remembering that MFK have won 7 out of 9 home games this season and have been very formidable at the Aker Stadion the last 2 years.

Bodø/Glimt

The champions elect only need 13 more points to win the Eliteserien gold medal and they are a massive 18 points clear at the top with just 10 games left to play. They remain unbeaten this season and there is now a serious possibility they could have an invincible campaign. An away trip to Molde will however be one of the toughest challenges remaining. Glimt have recently lost star man Jens Petter Hauge to AC Milan and managed to just scrape over the line vs Sandefjord last time out (2-1). New signing in midfield Hugo Vetlesen is likely ruled out due to injury here. Centre back Marius Lode is suspended with his partner at the back Brede Moe rated doubtful. Attacking beast Phillip Zinckernagel who has probably been the best player in the league is now officially confirmed as ruled out.

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Molde are favourites for this match and before the Zinckernagel news broke it was between the DNB and -0.25 Asian Handicap line.  Molde have now shortenred into 1.80 on the nose to win though! On the face of things these odds do seem incorrect but Molde still have an extremely strong squad on paper which can more than match Bodø/Glimt if they are in the mood. I have a feeling that Molde will want to prove a point here and remind people how good they can still be. Glimt are a top quality side and wont shy away from their high tempo, aggressive and attacking ways but if there is one team in Norway who can match them in this way it is Molde. We saw in the reverse fixture in patches that MFK managed to create big chances but just didn’t take them. The obvious bet for this game is over 3.5 goals. Both sides have tons of attacking firepower, whilst at the same time there are possibly some defensive absences. The last three meetings have ended 3-2, 4-2 and 3-1 and it is the sort of fixture that always seems to rain goals. I have a feeling Molde might take this one but honestly a high scoring draw or a 3-2 either way is very possible.

Prediction: 3-2

Recommended bet: Over 3.5 goals @1.84