Norway Eliteserien – Viking v Strømsgodset Preview (4/10/20)

Match Preview

Viking

The Stavanger side have won five straight games and are now situated comfortably in midtable. They are in a good place right now and can look at pushing even further up the table in their last ten games. It took Viking a while to find their form this year but their offensive firepower has propelled them forward in recent weeks. The likes of Berisha and Bytyqi have especially been on fire. There is a doubt over the participation of both here due to injury but I’m guessing each will probably suit up or be on the bench at worst. Left back remains a problem area after the departure of Adrian Nilson Pereira, midfielder Kristoffer Lokberg remains injured and there’s a doubt over winger Yann de Lanlay. The latter actually went 8 games without getting injured which is some sort of record for him in recent years!

Strømsgodset

Godset have drawn their last two matches 0-0 out of absolutely nowhere! This was a team that hadn’t kept a clean sheet since round two of the season and it’s difficult to say what exactly changed. It certainly helped that they faced Sandefjord and Sarpsborg who can sometimes be goal-shy but it’s amazing how much more solid Godset have looked with Duplexe Tchamba back in the side. In terms of league position SIF are only one place above the relegation playoff spot but do have a 7 point gap which is quite a nice cushion at this stage. Godset have drawn their last four consecutive games and been grafting things out.

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Two or three weeks ago I had this down as an absolute banker over bet on either the 3 or 3.25 line. I was actually stung by backing the over in the reverse fixture but was unlucky as chance after chance got missed and it eventually ended 2-0 Viking. It seems that Godset are a better defensive team in the last couple of weeks though and might be less inclined to want to get sucked into a shootout type match. A lot will depend on the fitness or how sharp Bytyqi and Berisha are here. If they are on form then I’d expect both Viking to win and the over 3.25 to cover. But the price is quite poor around the 1.80 mark and the true goal line is probably more 3.5. I think there are enough warning signs to avoid betting the over here now. If things explode and we get a mental game then I wouldn’t be surprised but pre match I’m going to swerve.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: None