Monthly Archives: February 2021

France Ligue 2 – Round 30 (19-20 March)

Apologies, some other stuff came up this weekend which meant I was unable to do previews for the majority of matches. Back after the international break for more!

Round 30
Next >>
Time (GMT)
Friday 19th March
18:00
Chambly
vs
Ajaccio Preview
Saturday 20th March
14:00
Amiens
vs
Troyes Preview
19:00
Chateauroux
vs
Caen
19:00
Guingamp
vs
Rodez
19:00
Le Havre
vs
Sochaux
19:00
Nancy
vs
Clermont
19:00
Niort
vs
Toulouse
19:00
Paris FC
vs
Grenoble
19:00
Pau
vs
Dunkerque
19:00
Valenciennes
vs
Auxerre

France Ligue 2 – Round 29 (13-15 March)

Round 29
Next >>
Time (GMT)
Saturday 13th March
14:00
Auxerre
vs
Paris FC Preview
18:00
Ajaccio
vs
Guingamp Preview
18:00
Clermont
vs
Amiens POSTPONED
18:00
Dunkerque
vs
Niort Preview
18:00
Grenoble
vs
Pau Preview
18:00
Rodez
vs
Valenciennes Preview
18:00
Sochaux
vs
Chateauroux Preview
18:00
Toulouse
vs
Chambly Preview
18:00
Troyes
vs
Nancy Preview
Monday 15th March
19:45
Caen
vs
Le Havre Preview

France Ligue 2 – Round 28 (2nd March)

Round 28
Next >>
Time (GMT)
Tuesday 2nd March
19:00
Ajaccio
vs
Rodez Preview
19:00
Amiens
vs
Auxerre Preview
19:00
Chambly
vs
Troyes Preview
19:00
Guingamp
vs
Clermont Preview
19:00
Le Havre
vs
Grenoble Preview
19:00
Nancy
vs
Caen Preview
19:00
Niort
vs
Sochaux Preview
19:00
Paris FC
vs
Dunkerque Preview
19:00
Pau
vs
Chateauroux Preview
19:00
Valenciennes
vs
Toulouse Preview

France Ligue 2 – Dunkerque v Chambly Preview (27/2/21)

Match Preview

Dunkerque

  • Just 1 win in 12 games has seen Dunkerque slip down to 16th place
  • General problems at both ends of the field, but especially with goalscoring
  • Kerrouche (CM) and Romil (ATT) remain out with COVID

Chambly

  • Badly hit by COVID recently and have lost last 4 consecutive games
  • Some players back this week but still missing half a dozen 
  • 1-6-5 away record this season

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Two poor teams meet here and a defeat for Dunkerque would put them on the doorsteps of the relegation zone. I think if Chambly were at full strength then they would win, but this is a side that has had to deal with a bad COVID outbreak recently and you have to wonder what it has taken out of the squad. To be fair to Chambly they actually performed much better than most people expected recently, only losing 0-1 vs Clermont and Auxerre when the assumption was they would get battered. If they can show the same sort of fight and application here then they have every chance. I am not sure which way things go here but I’m expecting a nervous and tight sort of match which could hinge one one set piece or mistake. I’ll predict a draw but the final outcome is anyone’s guess really.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Sochaux v Guingamp Preview (27/2/21)

Match Preview

Sochaux

  • Won last 3 consecutive games to move up to a comfortable 7th
  • 5-4-4 home record has been quite mixed this season
  • Johan Martial (CB) & Steve Ambri (LW) are the only notable absences
  • Last 5 home games all ended under 2.5 goals

Guingamp

  • Still hovering only just above the relegation zone after just 1 win in last 19 games
  • Drawn last 3 consecutive matches which has given them more hope
  • Seem to be playing better under interim coach Fred Bompard
  • CB Philippe Sampaio ruled out for the 2nd consecutive game

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Sochaux are a tempting price here around the 2.25 mark. You could back them on a decent -0.25 Handicap line and I have found it hard to resist them here. The problem is I find Sochaux hard to predict at home and I actually think they are almost more trustworthy on the road. I would be surprised if they lost today but a draw is definitely possible. It is a bit early to consider motivation but Guingamp need the points a lot more. Sochaux are in a very safe position but whether they truly believe they can make the playoffs I’m not sure. Guingamp came from 0-2 down to draw with Caen on Monday night and have shown a lot more fight recently. I am going to predict a Sochaux win but this might not be straightforward.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Grenoble v Niort Preview (27/2/21)

Match Preview

Grenoble

  • Just one point off automatic promotion after a late win vs Nancy last week (2-1)
  • Sensational 9-3-0 home record and yet to lose here yet this season#
  • 2nd best defence in the league conceding just 21 goals
  • Defender Loic Nestor & playmaker Yoic Ravet are the most notable injuries

Niort

  • Victory against Pau last week (2-1) was their first win in 12 games
  • 3-4-6 away record but haven’t won any of their last 8 on the road
  • Defender Darlin Yongwa suspended

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Considering Grenoble’s home record I think it’s a no brainer to back them on a -0.25 Handicap. Niort haven’t won on the road for quite some time and I have to think the best they can pick up here is a draw. Grenoble have got the bit between their teeth right now and pushing hard for the automatic spots. This is a match they will expect to win so maybe it adds some extra pressure but I have to think their extra quality and class will come through. Grenoble also have the physicality and mental strength to grind out a 1-0 if needed. If they were a short odds on price to win then I wouldn’t back them here but the -0.25 handicap has plenty of appeal.

Prediction: 2-0

Recommended bet: Grenoble -0.25 Asian Handicap @1.80

France Ligue 2 – Clermont v Valenciennes Preview (27/2/21)

Match Preview

Clermont

  • 7 wins in last 10 games have helped propel Clermont up to 2nd place
  • 9-3-1 home record and won their last 8 straight at this venue
  • Key centre back Cedric Hountondji suspended
  • Best defensive record in the league, conceding just 16 goals

Valenciennes

  • Late draw obtained vs Troyes last week has them in 8th place
  • Winless in last 4 matches
  • 4-5-4 away record isn’t too bad
  • CB Maxime Spano ruled out injured

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Clermont are too much of a short favourite tonight. They are around the 1.36 mark and a -1.25 Asian Handicap which doesn’t really interest me. The goal line is around the 2.75 line as well which is quite high for a Ligue 2 match. I think Clermont will win but VAFC can be an awkward opposition. They beat Toulouse this season, held Troyes last week and also got a point away to Auxerre. They have counter attacking threats like Gaetan Robail who Clermont will have to keep an eye on - and do it without key centre back Cedric Hountondji. I suspect this will be a home win, but maybe a tight one like 1-0 or 2-1 so I’m happy to leave this game alone.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Chateauroux v Nancy Preview (27/2/21)

Match Preview

Chateauroux

  • Rock bottom of the table with just 1 win in last 20 games
  • 3-2-8 home record is the worst in the league
  • 3 of last 4 home games ended over 2.5 goals
  • Goalkeeper issues with their first three choices all still ruled out

Nancy

  • Late loss to Grenoble last week (1-2) was their first defeat in 10 games
  • 3-4-6 away record isn’t bad
  • 10/13 road games ended under 2.5 this season
  • Defensive trio Ciss (inj), El Kaoutari (inj) and Latouchent (susp) all ruled out

Conclusion & Betting analysis

I was tempted by backing over 2 goals here because I think Chateauroux are in a desperate situation where they just have to go for it really. Nancy are missing a few defensive players so this could be a chance for the hosts. I have noticed that Chateauroux have improved on the field recently but results themselves haven’t picked up as much as they would have wanted. Nancy had a long unbeaten run end last week and I wonder if it will affect them or not. They can be a difficult side to predict really. I’m going to say a 1-1 draw but if either team took the points here I wouldn’t be surprised.

Prediction:  1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Caen v Paris FC Preview (27/2/21)

Match Preview

Caen

  • Just 2 wins in last 15 games, although are unbeaten in 4
  • Mixed 5-6-2 home record containing a lot of draws
  • 9 out of 13 home games ended under 2.5 this season
  • Defensive duo Rivierez & Weber both ruled out injured

Paris FC

  • Victory against Chateauroux 1-0 last week was their first win in 6 games
  • Only won 2 of their last 15 league matches
  • 4-4-5 away record but failed to win any of their last 8 on the road

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Neither team has been great recently and struggled for wins. Paris FC threaten to roar into life but often go missing at both ends and make crucial mistakes which cost them. If Paris FC actually took their chances then they would be quite some force but you simply don’t trust them with their final finish or decision making. Caen meanwhile, are literally impossible to predict these days. Absolutely anything can happen here but because both teams are struggling to win matches at the moment then maybe a draw is most likely. From a betting point of view nothing interests me as I struggle to see which way it goes. Maybe some Caen defensive injuries might give the edge to Paris FC but I’m still not entirely sure.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Auxerre v Rodez Preview (27/2/21)

Match Preview

Auxerre

  • Victory at Chambly last week (1-0) has them up to 5th place
  • 8-3-2 home record is one of the best in the league
  • 47 goals scored is the 2nd most of anyone
  • Left back Quentin Bernard suspended
  • Playmaker Mathias Autret still injured

Rodez

  • Surprise 1-0 win at home to Toulouse last week shows they are no mugs
  • 1 loss in last 12 games has seen them shoot up towards the comfort of midtable
  • 1-7-4 away record has contained a lot of draws, but just 1 win
  • Important midfielder Remy Boissier is suspended
  • Injury situation excellent

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Auxerre haven’t been quite at their best recently but I would still expect them to win this game. They have just been lacking some goals recently and not been as creative as normal. They laboured past Chambly 1-0 last week and only drew 0-0 with Ajaccio. In the most recent home game a 1-1 vs Guingamp was a fairly poor return. I think Rodez will come here and make themselves quite hard to beat. Their defence has been much improved of late and they won’t be an easy nut to crack. I have to have faith in Auxerre though, especially at home. They have the quality to make the difference and know they need to win here to keep up the pressure in the promotion hunt. I would much prefer to back them in a -0.25 handicap because there is perhaps more draw risk here compared to normal.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: Auxerre -0.25  Asian Handicap @ 1.78