France Ligue 2 – Nancy v Ajaccio Preview (20/4/21)

Match Preview

Nancy

  • Form has drifted slightly recently picking up just 1 point in their last 3 games
  • Tougher fixture list hasn’t helped, facing sides in the current top seven
  • Look securely in midtable on 41 points
  • 5-7-4 home record has contained a lot of draws this season
  • Midfield duo Akichi & Lefebvre not included in the squad

Ajaccio

  • Victory against Niort on Saturday moves them to 42 points and safety
  • 3-5-8 away record isn’t great. Lost 3 of last 4 on the road
  • Veteran duo Mathieu Coutadeur & Riad Nouri likely still ruled out injured

Conclusion & Betting analysis

I don’t really get why Nancy are DNB underdogs here. Ajaccio have just reached their points target and coach Olivier Pantaloni even said after Saturday’s game that they have been ‘after 42 points for a while now’ I have seen teams in this position before kind of relax in the next fixture and take their eye off the ball a bit. Ajaccio aren’t the best of travellers either and Nancy have generally been one of the form teams in 2021. They’ve lost recently vs Troyes & Toulouse but I won’t hold that against them. Top scorer Mickael Biron missed some matches of late due to COVID but should be fit enough to start tonight. I think Nancy will be up for it more and I’m happy to bet on them DNB handicap because it offers plenty of security. This price seems greatly inflated for some reason because something like a -0.25 or even -0.5 handicap on the hosts was more what I expected.

Prediction: 2-0

Recommended bet: Nancy DNB @ 2.06