France Ligue 2 – Rodez v Chambly Preview (3/4/21)

Match Preview

Rodez

  • Ending the season strongly with just 2 losses in last 16 games
  • Decent 6-5-4 home record and won 4 of their last 5 here
  • Only conceded 4 goals in last 8 games
  • Midfielder David Douline is suspended
  • Gentleman's agreement between the clubs means striker Florian David won’t play

Chambly

  • Crucial victory 2-1 against Ajaccio last time out was their first in 8 games
  • Had previously lost 6 out of 7 matches but that win has given them hope again
  • Only 3 points behind 18th spot so have everything to play for
  • Only won 1 out of 14 on the road this season, although have drawn 7 times
  • Key centre back Thibault Jacques still injured

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Rodez have certainly been in better form but Chambly are fighting for their lives, so nothing is guaranteed here. The home team usually wins this H2H matchup but at a price of 1.80 I’m not really interested in Rodez. They still need points themselves to secure survival but there isn’t such an imminent need and I sense Chambly will be the more urgent. They fought like proper dogs vs Ajaccio last time out and despite only winning one match on the road all season a collection of draws have stifled opponents. With a gun to my head I would still predict Rodez to probably win, but I can't be sure. An over 2.5 game wouldn’t shock me either because it might end up being a frantic sort of affair. I did look at backing over 2 goals but overall I feel like this fixture is best left alone.

Prediction:  2-1

Recommended bet: None