Norway Eliteserien – Bodø/Glimt v Tromsø Preview (9/5/21)

Match Preview

Bodø/Glimt

  • Defending champions won 26 out of 30 games last season, scoring 103 goals!
  • Had a 100% home record in all competitions in 2020
  • Defensive duo Marius Lode & Brede Moe slightly doubtful due to injury
  • Midfielder Vegard Moberg probably out and Sondre Fet a doubt

Tromsø

  • Back in the top flight after winning the OBOS Ligaen last season
  • Manager Gaute Helstrup impressed with his 3-5-2 formation
  • Usually travel poorly but not as far to go for this fixture
  • Various injury doubts across the squad including Gundersen (CB), Espejord & Kitolano (ATT)
  • Recently loss influential centre back Simen Wangberg to Stabaek 

Conclusion & Betting analysis

What a fixture to start things off with! Derby of the north between two fierce rivals and both will be desperate to get points. Bodø/Glimt will have a huge target on their back as defending champions and will have to make do without the likes of Zinckernagel & Junker but they are still one of the favourites to win the gold medal. Their price has been drifting all week and it’s no surprise - on paper they should be much better than Tromsø. The two teams recently met in a friendly and it ended 1-1 so TIL can maybe gain some confidence from that but it looks like the visitors have a few injury doubts which could affect them. I just find it really difficult to see how they resist the Glimt attack force and I see a comfortable home win. I like the idea of backing Glimt on -1 Asian Handicap and consider it a safer bet than taking over 3 or 3.25 goals. Tromsø are probably going to be more defensive minded this season and will likely set out their stall to keep things tight, which brings into play something like a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline, or even the 1-0. Glimt will have enough to win over the course of the 90 mins so surely at worst you’d think a push on the -1 line. They won ALL of their home fixtures in 2020 so I see no reason to desert them.

Prediction: 3-0

Recommended bet: Bodø/Glimt -1 Asian Handicap @ 2.0