Norway Eliteserien – Bodø/Glimt v Mjøndalen Preview (13/6/21)

Match Preview

Bodø/Glimt

  • Shock loss to Odd (0-1) in the previous round was their first defeat of the season
  • First time in over 40 games that they didn’t score a goal in the league
  • Won all home games last season and 2 out of 3  so far this year
  • Centre back duo Marius Lode and Brede Moe both doubtful due to injury

Mjøndalen

  • Very solid start to the season picking up 5 points form first 4 games
  • Draws vs Molde & Valerenga show that MIF are no mugs this season
  • Likely to be very defensive, play for a 0-0 and operate with a negative mentality
  • Midfielder Erik Skistad has just broken his leg and is ruled out.
  • Attacking playmaker Martin Ovenstad is rated doubtful

Conclusion & Betting analysis

It absolutely shocked me that Bodø/Glimt lost to Odd last time out (0-1). They played really awful too and passed the ball particularly badly. After what I’ve seen from Bodø/Glimt in the last 2 years or so it was a strange below par sort of display which I can’t explain. Maybe it was just one bad day at the office though and they rebound here. Mjøndalen can be a tough nut to crack and hard to break down. They will come here and try to play for a 0-0 in a similar way to what they did vs Molde. It will be a physical test and they will probably threaten the odd time from set pieces. This Glimt side hasn’t been as free scoring this season but I have to think some sort of individual moment or just general barrage of pressure will eventually see them get the 3 points. I don’t like the idea of a -1.25 or -1.5 Glimt handicap but under 3.25 goals does tempt me. Mjøndalen will waste time constantly, even if they fall behind and I struggle to see how 4 or more goals get scored unless Glimt are in amazing form. Something like 1-0 or 2-0 is what I expect.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: Under 3.25 goals @ 1.83