Category Archives: Ligue 2

France Ligue 2 – Guingamp v Caen Preview (20/2/20)

Match Preview

Guingamp

  • Just 1 win in last 18 games is the reason Guingamp are hovering just above relegation trouble
  • Interim coach Fred Bompard remains in charge - he’s drawn his last 2 games
  • CB Philippe Sampaio ruled out
  • El Hadji Ba (DM) & Morgan Poaty (RB) also injured
  • 2-6-4 home record is the 2nd worst in the league

Caen

  • Victory against Niort at home last week (1-0) was their first in 9 games
  • 3-3-6 away record hasn’t been very good this season
  • #1 keeper Remy Riou remains out injured
  • Defensive duo Armougom & Rivierez also injured along with striker Bammou

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Caen have won both meetings this season, 1-0 in the league and 3-1 in the cup. Guingamp have been a total mess all campaign really. They looked better against Auxerre and Grenoble recently and maybe their attacking quality on paper will finally shine through. Interim manager Fred Bompard appears to be getting more out of the players than the previous coach - although that was always going to happen by default. Caen are one of those weird sides who I can never predict very easily. Any version of them could show up on the day, so it’s a challenge to get them right. Absolutely nothing tempts me either in the Asian market or over/under. I am very happy to leave this match alone and my best guess is for something like a 1-1 draw.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Rodez v Toulouse Preview (20/2/20)

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Rodez

  • Creditable 2-1 defeat away to Troyes last week was their first loss in 11 games
  • Mixed 4-5-4 home record this season isn’t too bad
  • CB Julien Celestine is suspended
  • Last 6 home matches all ended under 2.5 goals
  • No other major absences for tonight

Toulouse

  • Still in 2nd place after beating Ajaccio 3-0 on Monday night
  • Lost just 2 of their last 23 games
  • Excellent 6-4-2 away record is the best in the league, they've also scored more goals than anyone else
  • Four absences to regular and important starters could impact them negatively
  • Left back Machado (inj) along with Spierings & Dejaegere (CM) plus top scorer Rhys Healey are suspended

Conclusion & Betting analysis

If Toulouse were at full strength then I would probably back them here. They are the better team and should have too much for Rodez really. However, missing four key starters who have hardly missed a minute between them all season is going to be challenging. Toulouse have good depth and can perhaps cope to a degree but it’s less than ideal. Rodez have been no mugs recently anyway and hard to beat. They lost away to Troyes last week but put up a spirited display from 0-2 down and weren’t a million miles off picking up a draw. I think they can get something tonight, possibly a draw and this feels like a spot Toulouse drop points to be honest. I am not daft enough to bet against TFC though such has been their form this season.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Paris FC v Chateauroux Preview (20/2/20)

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Paris FC

  • Just 2 wins in last 15 games has seen Paris FC slip down to 6th place and out of the playoffs
  • 6-4-2 home record remains strong and have been difficult to beat here
  • Haven’t kept a clean sheet since the start of December
  • Two suspensions - Bamba (CB) & Kikonda (CM)

Chateauroux

  • Defeat to Le Havre last week (0-1) means they are rooted to the bottom of the table
  • Have improved performance-wise on the field recently, helped by January new signings
  • Goalkeeper problems with FOUR custodians ruled out 
  • Looks like #5 keeper Tommy Plumain will start here
  • Terrible 1-4-7 away record which is the worst in the league

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Chateauroux have definitely been better of late and been far more competitive anyway. Results might not show it but they certainly aren’t the pushover they once were. They’ve had GK issues all season and new signing Marcin Bulka on loan from PSG misses out due to injury. Other absences will mean that number 5 choice Tommy Plumain guards the net tonight. Plumain has actually been on the bench a few times this season and isn’t terrible but I have to think this issue will affect them at some stage tonight, even if just with communication. Paris FC have somehow cocked up a lot of matches they should have won recently. The problem is their defence can’t be trusted to keep things tight and their strikers miss too many big chances. Backing Paris FC -0.5 around evens is mightily tempting but I prefer to take over 2.25 goals. I see both teams scoring and Chateauroux are in a desperate sort of position where they need to go for things really. 2-1 or 3-1 home victory for me.

Prediction: 3-1

Recommended bet: Over 2.25 goals @ 1.86

France Ligue 2 – Niort v Pau Preview (20/2/20)

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Niort

  • Winless in 11 matches although drawn quite a lot of those contests
  • Thankfully for their sake they are 7 points clear of danger in lower midtable
  • 4-5-2 home record isn;t too bad and they’ve been hard to beat at this venue
  • Centre back Ibrahima Conte is suspended

Pau

  • 7 points picked up in last 4 games has given Pau survival hope
  • Only 2 points off 18th place now and form has improved recently
  • 2-2-9 away record is the 2nd worst in the league
  • Centre back Antoine Batisse (susp) is the only major absentee

Conclusion & Betting analysis

The previous meeting ended 4-1 which should fill Pau with some confidence. The visitors have every chance of picking up another 3 points because Niort have really struggled of late. They are on a long winless streak and it's difficult when you are in that sort of form. Anything could happen here. I have a feeling that it will be an open sort of match so I did consider over 2.25 goals. Both teams should fancy their chances of victory, although at the same time a draw for either side wouldn’t be too bad. I feel that Pau will have more momentum which could serve them well tonight, but at the same time they are quite a poor side and if Niort can get off to a good start then it could wreck them. Difficult match to predict so I’ll go with a 1-1 draw but honestly nothing would surprise me here.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Nancy v Grenoble Preview (20/2/20)

Match Preview

Nancy

  • Unbeaten 9 match run has given Nancy a 5 point breathing space over the bottom three
  • 3-6-3 home record has seen them draw a lot of games this season
  • 9 out of 12 home games ended over 2.5 goals - the most out of anyone in the league
  • Left back Saliou Ciss is injured
  • Three players returns from suspension

Grenoble

  • Draw at home to Amiens last week (0-0) saw them drop points in the automatic promotion race
  • 4-3-6 away record has been an achilles heel this season
  • Playmaker Yoric Ravet & striker Achile Anani ruled out through injury & suspension respectively
  • #1 keeper Brice Maubleau still on the sidelines

Conclusion & Betting analysis

There’s no doubt that over 2.25 goals tempts me here. Nancy home matches have a tendency to be high scoring although it is worth noting that the last two games here have ended 1-1 and 1-0. There have been signs recently that they are starting to get on top of some of the defensive issues which plagued them in the winter. With Grenoble missing  key playmaker Yoric Ravet, who has weighed in with 4 goals and 4 assists this season then perhaps it would be sensible to refrain from betting. I still think this will be a watchable sort of open match but maybe the over won’t land due to missed chances or something. I sense something like a 1-1 draw where it will be touch and go whether the over/under lands.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Le Havre v Dunkerque Preview (20/2/20)

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Le Havre

  • Unbeaten 6 game run has seem them climb to the safety of midtable for now
  • 3-6-3 home record is the 5th worst out of anyone
  • Incredibly, 11 out of 12 home games ended under 2.5 this year
  • Now new injuries or suspensions
  • Playmaker Himad Abdelli remains the only casualty

Dunkerque

  • Just 1 win in last 10 games means Dunkerque are now just 3 points off the drop zone
  • 3-1-8 away record has seen them lose a lot of matches on their travels
  • CB Alioune Ba is suspended
  • Two players Kerrouche (CM) & Romil (ATT) miss out due to COVID related reasons

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Those who follow me regularly will know that I love to bet against Dunkerque recently. I simply don’t rate this team and ultimately I think they could get relegated to be honest. However, the prospect of backing Le Havre at an odds-on price around the 1.80 mark doesn’t have any appeal at all. They simply don’t win enough matches for my liking, especially here where games tend to be very dull, boring and low scoring. This will probably suit Dunkerque more because they can just come here and frustrate HAC, in a similar fashion which enabled them to draw 0-0 vs Guingamp a couple of weeks ago on the road. Under 2 goals is the obvious play. I just don’t see how this match opens up and at worst we are probably looking at a push. A 0-0 draw or a tight 1-0 Le Havre win is what I’m predicting.

Prediction: 0-0

Recommended bet: Under 2 goals @ 2.0

France Ligue 2 – Chambly v Auxerre Preview (20/2/20)

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Chambly

  • Missing over a dozen players due to COVID or injury
  • Coaching staff also affected
  • Actual starting XI not ‘a total shocker’ but they have literally zero bench depth here
  • Put up an admirable fight vs Clermont last week, only losing 0-1
  • 4-2-7 home record is the 4th worst in the league

Auxerre

  • Just 1 win in last 5 games has halted Auxerre’s automatic promotion bid
  • 3-5-4 away record is only good enough for 10th best in the league
  • Their 46 goals scored this season is the 2nd highest out of anyone
  • Playmaker Mathias Autret is the only significant absentee today

Conclusion & Betting analysis

You have to give Chambly credit for digging in last week under difficult circumstances and only losing 0-1 at Clermont. They did struggle in the 2nd half though and could have easily been trounced 2 or 3 nil in the end if Clermont took chances. Chambly have been rocked by COVID cases, injuries and just general disruption recently. I have to think at some stage this is all going to rear its ugly head and someone smashes them. It could easily be today because Auxerre are the sort of relentless team, who when in the mood can really create chances at will. The previous meeting this season ended 4-0 to Auxerre and last season they won 4-1 at this venue. The visitors should have more than enough to prevail very comfortably, for me it’s just a question of how many goals they win by. The Chambly likely starting XI isn’t as bad as some might think but lets not forget Auxerre are by far the better team anyway and would be odds-on to win even under normal circumstances. Backing the visitors on a -1 Asian Handicap makes sense to me. At very least they should surely win but I’m thinking along the lines of 0-3 or 0-4 here and I expect Chambly to struggle mightily.

Prediction: 0-3

Recommended bet: Auxerre -1 Asian Handicap @ 1.99

France Ligue 2 – Amiens v Sochaux Preview (20/2/20)

Match Preview

Amiens

  • Just 1 win in last 6 games has seen Amiens languish around midtable
  • 4-6-2 home record has contained a lot of draws this season
  • An incredible 11 out of 12 home games ended under 2.5 goals this season
  • Have the joint 2nd best defensive record in the league
  • No suspensions and injury situation favourable

Sochaux

  • Consecutive victories has propelled them back up to 7th in the table
  • Key defenders Florentin Pogba & Christophe Diehiou back from injury and suspension respectively
  • 3-7-2 away record has been impressive, containing just 2 defeats
  • 8 out of 12 road gamed ended under 2.5 this season

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Statistics very much point towards a draw and an under 2.5 goals match. Amiens are just a rock solid team who are very hard to penetrate. Their back four is perhaps the best in the entire league and is very physical - just what you need when facing this Sochaux side. The visitors have re-found their attacking mojo recently and looked much better going forwards but I just can't see them being allowed to create much here. The main Sochaux threat is on the break but you probably need more technical patience and build up to break through this Amiens backline. I would totally back the under but we have an understandable goal line here of 1.75 which is too low really. We are getting to the stage of the season where some teams will start to tire and maybe open up more, so it’s not maybe the banker under some people think anyway.

Prediction: 0-0

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Ajaccio v Clermont Preview (20/2/20)

Match Preview

Ajaccio

  • Defeat in Toulouse on Monday night (0-3) was only their 3rd since the end of October
  • Overall 5-4-3 home record but are unbeaten here in their last 7 games
  • 9 out of 12 home games ended under 2.5
  • Riad Nouri (AM) & Florian Chambrolle (CM) are new injuries

Clermont

  • Labouring 1-0 home victory vs Chambly last week keeps them in 3rd place
  • 4-4-4 away record but lost last 2 road games
  • Squad in near perfect health with no major injuries or suspensions
  • Midfielders Gastien & Magnin back in the squad after missing out last week

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Clermont are the better team but I don’t trust them away from home right now and I think this is a bad H2H matchup for them. Head coach Olivier Pantaloni has a 2-6-1 career record vs Pascal Gastien and it seems he has a knack of nullifying the passing and technical game that Clermont possesses. Ajaccio have proved awkward opposition for the likes of Grenoble and Auxerre recently and they won the reverse fixture earlier in the season back in October. I could see a low scoring match, maybe even where Ajaccio steal something like a 1-0 victory. I’d say a 0-0 or 1-1 draw is more likely though. Ajaccio +0.25 and under 2.25 were both tempting bets here but Clermont are a very good side and I’m not the sort of punter who likes to bet against strong opposition very often.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Valenciennes v Troyes Preview (20/2/20)

Match Preview

Valenciennes

  • Consecutive defeats has seen them drop down to 8th place
  • 5-3-4 home record is the 10th best in the league
  • No new injuries or suspensions
  • 9 out of 12 home games ended under 2.5 this season

Troyes

  • Still top of the table after beating Rodez 2-1 last week
  • 5-3-4 away record is the 2nd best in the league
  • 3 key suspensions all in defence!
  • El Hajjam, Salmier & Giraudon all ruled out

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Valenciennes are a tricky side to work out. They can blow hot or cold from one week to the next so anything is possible. I think Troyes would normally have enough to get the 3 points today but when you are missing 3 players to suspensions at the back all in one game then it could make things very difficult for them to adjust. At the very least then you would expect VA to create some decent chances, whether they take them or not is a different matter. There’s no way I’d be interested in backing Troyes at an odds-on price today but equally I wouldn’t want to take them on. Overs did interest me but the line is between 2.5 and 2.75 which feels too high in a league like this one. I’ll leave alone here but I’m thinking something like a 2-2 draw.

Prediction: 2-2

Recommended bet: None