Category Archives: Ligue 2

France Ligue 2 – Auxerre v Le Havre Preview (5/10/19)

Match Preview

Auxerre have been wildly inconsistent this season under Jean Marc Furlan. There are times when you think they are on their way towards really challenging at the top of the table, but then they regress. An example of this was in their previous home game vs Troyes which was lost 1-2. Then last week although a 2-2 draw from 0-2 down was a decent comeback at Niort, the overall standard of performance wasn’t really good enough. Auxerre are a work in progress and I think we have to accept they will blow hot and cold until things settle down. They are pretty much what you’d expect from a JM Furlan side though in that plenty of threat is carried in the final third. The big difference compared to his Brest team is that they don’t anywhere near as solid defensively. It’s pretty staggering that AJA have only kept one clean sheet all season.

That statistic bodes well for Ligue 2 leading scorer Tino Kadewere. He has 10 goals to his name although hasn’t been as sharp in recent matches. He had a poor game vs Chateauroux, which Le Havre lost 0-1 and they simply can’t just rely on Tino to get them over the line every week. Paul Le Guen had a great start in charge of HAC, not losing any of his first 8 fixtures. But no win in 3 games has seen them hit the buffers. I suspect this type of fixture will suit them better though. I have noticed how Le Havre have struggled to break down certain rigid sides who park the bus like Paris FC & Chateauroux. However, put them against more attack orientated outfits such as Lens & Troyes and they can cause plenty of problems going forward. The obvious pick to me here is over 2 goals. You could take over 2.25 or even 2.5 at bigger odds if you preferred. Every Le Havre away match has ended over 2.5 this season, whilst Auxerre matches average 3 goals per game so far. I think Auxerre can take the points but I am unwilling to back them due to poor reliability and will just stick with the over.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: Over 2 goals @1.75

 

France Ligue 2 – Valenciennes v Grenoble Preview (4/10/19)

Match Preview

Valenciennes won four matches in a row but have since come unstuck failing to win any of the last three. However, I think they're still playing some decent football and are generally quite a tough nut to crack. Tonight they welcome Grenoble who have been rather inconsistent this season and not quite at their best. The visitors are unbeaten in four games though and have done well to grind out 1-0 wins vs Niort and Caen recently. The problem I have with Grenoble is that they just haven't been very convincing this season so far. Things are definitely improving but whether they are a trustworthy side is a different question entirely. I think there is a little bit of value on the home team here but I'm reluctant to back them. I would say there is a high chance of a 0-0 or 1-1 here and it should be a close contest with not much between either team. It could be the sort of match for under backers to get involved in with defences likely to be on top. Overall, I'm happy to leave this match alone.

Prediction: 0-0

Recommended bet: None

 

France Ligue 2 – Sochaux v Clermont Preview (4/10/19)

Match Preview

I have regularly criticised Sochaux for being a very boring and dull side ever since Omar Daf took over the club. He is not known for his attacking tactics and instead prefers to be pragmatic and effective. This worked by keeping the team in this division last season picking up the necessary points when required. Similar sort of development has occurred this campaign as well. However, it seems that Sochaux have gained so much confidence from being that solid team hard to beat, that in recent matches they've actually been able to look decent going forward. Recent victories 3-1 vs Guingamp and 2-0 vs Rodez have been some of their most impressive performances of the season. Here at home they've been brilliant and only conceded one goal in five games so far. I personally rate Clermont highly but other decent sides such as Nancy and Auxerre have both really struggled at this venue. I suspect chances will be fairly hard to come by tonight and the most likely outcome is a 0-0 draw or a tight home win. I would back Sochaux DNB if I didn't rate Clermont so highly because the value is on the home team, and once again it looks like they are underrated.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None

 

France Ligue 2 – Paris FC v Troyes Preview (4/10/19)

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Paris FC continue to be a complete mess. They are now the only team in the division without a victory this season and have lost 7 out of 9 games. Things look really bad for the club right now and just three goals scored rather sums up their toothless attack. The big difference compare to last season is that they are no longer as solid defensively. In the previous campaign PFC could be relied upon to keep regular clean sheets and very very hard to break down. So far this year the only time they have offered any sort of resistance was the goalless draw at Le Havre. Quite how long manager Mecha Bazdarevic has left at the club I'm not sure. He himself may well quit if things continue to be this bad. Troyes are the favourites tonight and have enjoyed themselves under the guidance of Laurent Battles this season. Their four game winning run came to an end last week at home to Orleans but they are definitely the better of the two teams right now. There is certainly a case for backing of the visitors tonight but their price is a little bit short for my liking. I will leave this match alone but a likely outcome is 0-1 or 0-2.

Prediction: 0-1

Recommended bet: None

 

France Ligue 2 – Nancy v Niort Preview (4/10/19)

Match Preview

I have bet against Niort in both of the last two weeks and on each occasion they burned me. But I’m going to do exactly the same thing again tonight. I really don’t rate Le Chamois and consider them one of the worst sides in the division. I’ll give them some credit how they played last week vs Auxerre, perhaps unfortunate to blow a 2-0 lead at the end. Although conceding twice in the last 6 mins also proves their frailties. It was a fluke how Niort picked up a draw at Valenciennes in their most recent away match and I expect to see them struggle tonight. Nancy are a strong side and only lost 1 match so far this season. They’ve drawn too many but the way they easily dismissed Chambly 3-0 a couple of weeks ago really impressed me. Something similar may well be on the cards again and they have quality in attack like Bassi & Wagner who can really make a difference. Unless Niort get lucky once again then I don’t think they will be able to avoid defeat. Nancy are in a different class level and it should hopefully show over the 90 mins. Backing them straight on the nose to win @1.87 is perfectly acceptable in my opinion.

Prediction: 2-0

Recommended bet: Nancy -0.5 @1.87

 

France Ligue 2 – Lorient v Ajaccio Preview (4/10/19)

Match Preview

First and second in the division meet here tonight at Le Stade Moustoir. Lorient have done brilliantly under new coach Christophe Pellisier and have won 7 out of 9 games. They have looked much improved and it just shows what a change of manager can do to a club. Les Merlus regularly underachieved with Mickael Landreau at the helm but now it seems like they are a major contender for promotion. Lorient look well balanced in all areas of the field and suddenly feel like a reliable team again who have a knack of picking up results. Ajaccio travel here surprisingly high in the table. Nobody expected them to be performing so well this year after a turbulent previous campaign and a disappointing summer in which they were transfer restricted for a large proportion of time. Even more shocking has been their away form which has resulted in 3 victories out of 4. Despite all this I don’t think Ajaccio will last the pace and will ultimately regress to midtable. Tonight they are missing leading scorer Gaetan Courtet (5 goals), who is loaned by Lorient and the two clubs have an agreement not to feature him in this fixture, which is all very sensible. If Ajaccio pick up a legitimate result tonight then I might have to treat them more seriously. Lorient are probably the best side in Ligue 2 at the moment and should be more like a -1 Asian favorite tonight in my opinion. We can grab them on a -0.75 line at juicy odds and that will do for me.

Prediction: 2-0

Recommended bet: Lorient -0.75 @2.05

 

France Ligue 2 – Le Mans v Chambly Preview (4/10/19)

Match Preview

Two promoted teams meet here in what feels like a really important game for both to get some points. Le Mans have lost a whopping 8 out of 9 matches and have struggled to adapt to life back in Ligue 2. I still maintain I don’t think they are quite as poor as their results might suggest but there are enough warning signs now to suggest that Le Mans are unreliable and keep finding ways to fuck up a game. From a defensive point of view they’ve been a shambles, conceding a massive 21 goals in 9 games which is way too high in any league, let alone the French second division! Chambly meanwhile, started life at this level with 6 consecutive clean sheets. But things have changed somewhat and they've now lost three straight matches. Recent defeats vs Nancy and Lorient were convincing. I’m worried about their lack of goals. The 3-0 win at Paric FC contained half of their overall tally (6 goals) for the entire season so far. I suspect Le Mans are some value on a DNB handicap and I am very tempted to back them. But there is an old saying that ‘bad things happen when you bet on bad teams’. The hosts, despite some of their gameplay showing promise simply have to be classed in that category now.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: None

 

France Ligue 2 – Guingamp v Rodez Preview (4/10/19)

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Sylvain Didot had a dream start as Guingamp boss by beating Le Mans 3-0 on Monday night. It was a convincing victory for the Brittany club and they might’ve scored more goals on another night. It wasn’t really too much of a surprise because on paper Guingamp have one of the best sides in the division. They were underachieving under Patrice Lair but now that Didot is in temporary charge I suspect the players will be more relaxed and free. Of course, Didot was aided by the fixture list and they have only beaten a Le Mans side that’s now lost 8 of its 9 games this season. Perhaps the fixture gods have been shining down on Didot again though with another promoted team at home being his second fixture. Rodez have certainly been performing better than Le Mans but I just wonder if they are starting to fall into a rut now that the promotion ‘bounce’ has ended. RAF have lost their last two games vs Lorient & Sochaux and I think the same will happen tonight. Guingamp should be a clear odds-on favourite in my opinion but we can get 2.07 on them to prevail. This is too big for a classy side that probably only needed a change of manager to re-find some form. They can kick on from Monday’s victory by adding another 3 points.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: Guingamp -0.5 @2.07

 

France Ligue 2 – Caen v Chateauroux Preview (4/10/19)

Match Preview

Caen sacked Rui Almeida after a very difficult start to the season. His fairly negative and boring style was never going to be well embraced by the fans and he needed results fairly quickly, something which didn’t happen. Taking over at the helm is Pascal Dupraz, a man known for his fighting teams when at Evian and Toulouse a few years ago. Dupraz isn’t necessarily the best tactician around but is an excellent motivator and you know that his teams will play from the heart. I’m not sure what formation he will employ tonight but I expect Caen to give a lot more effort and be properly up for it. Chateauroux visited Normandie last Friday night and came away with a shock 1-0 win at Le Havre. They have generally struggled this season but have been getting better week by week. La Berrichone have only scored 2 goals all season and Caen haven’t fared much better, hitting the back of the net on just 5 occasions. The obvious bet here is under 2 goals but with a new manager things could change for Caen. There are also a number of absences for each team due to various injuries and suspensions. I would be guessing at the outcome because there are too many question marks.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None

 

France Ligue 2 – Guingamp v Le Preview (30/9/19)

Match Preview

Guingamp recently sacked Patrice Lair after their fairly disappointing start to the season. I have no problems with Lair as a tactician or technical coach but his man management abilities and also dealings with the boardroom of clubs is questionable. If it was true he had lost the dressing room then it was the right decision to fire him. What’s left is a team that should be up there challanening for promotion. On paper, only Lens have more strength in depth and ultimately I would expect to see EAG rise up the table. Interim boss is Sylvain Didot who had a decent playing career in French football and has been working behind the scenes in coaching for over half a dozen years now. Maybe he can start to bring the best out of this group of players.

This would appear to be a very winnable match for the hosts facing a Le Mans side that has lost 7 out of 8 fixtures. They aren’t as bad as their record might suggest but we can’t now ignore the amount of games they’ve suffered defeat in. It’s become almost a habit and I’m especially concerned how much they panic when behind in a fixture. It seems like Le Mans just open themselves up way too much when chasing a game and the 18 goals they've conceded is by far the most in the league. I don’t think their coach Richards Dezire is under any pressure just yet, he has plenty of credit in the bank with this club following successful promotions. But they need to sort themselves out from a defensive point of view otherwise there will be trouble.

The obvious pick for the game is over 2.25 goals. There are more question marks surrounding Guingamp with a change of manager but unless Le Mans suddenly start to park the bus and make themselves hard to break down then there will be plenty of opportunities for the hosts to take advantage of. Le Mans themselves should be willing to have a go and we have seen EAG fairly poor at the back themselves this term. The stats show that 5 out of 8 Guingamp games have contained at least 2 goals, whilst 6/8 Le Mans fixtures have ended over 2.5. This bet is an obvious play to me and it should be quite an open encounter.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: Over 2.25 goals @1.84