Category Archives: Ligue 2

France Ligue 2 – Grenoble v Nancy Preview (24/11/20)

Match Preview

Grenoble

  • Victory away at Pau (2-0) last time out was their 6th in 8 games
  • In a healthy 5th place and have 2 games in hand on most teams
  • 100% 4 out of 4 wins at home this season
  • Squad in fine condition with no major injuries or suspensions

Nancy

  • Haven’t played a competitive match since 7th November due to COVID issues
  • There were a lot of cases at the club so off the field things have been difficult
  • Defensive duo Saliou Ciss & Ernest Seka ruled out
  • Midfielder Akichi also not included in the squad
  • Lost 3 out of 5 away matches

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Grenoble had their own COVID issues earlier in the season but seem to have come out of it quite well. They are in excellent form and if they win their two games in hand would actually sit just one point off the top of the table. Their 2-0 victory away at an improving Pau was comfortable on Friday night and the Alpine club look one of the form teams at the moment. I do kind of fear for Nancy here because they have endured some issues with a number of positive cases as the club. It’s doubtful how fit exactly everyone is and there are some important players ruled out anyway. Nancy aren’t a bad side in a normal circumstance, but they aren’t anything special either. I expect Grenoble to get the job done and I’m happy to back them on the nose around the even money mark.

Prediction: 2-0

Recommended bet: Grenoble -0.5 Asian Handicap @2.03

France Ligue 2 – Guingamp v Ajaccio Preview (23/11/20)

Match Preview

Guingamp

  • Down in 14th place and failed to score in 4 of last 5 games
  • Home record improved with 2 wins in last 3 here
  • Right back Jeremy Mellot suspended but injury situation is good
  • Last 7 matches all ended under 2.5 with both teams not scoring

Ajaccio

  • Hovering above the relegation zone but have improved recently
  • Won last two away games by a 2-0 and 1-0 scoreline
  • Centre back pairing Joris Sainati & Cedric Avinel both suspended
  • 8/10 matches under 2.5 this season

Conclusion & Betting analysis

My main concern when Mecha Bazdarevic took over at Guingamp was that their goals would dry up and he wouldn’t make the most of their offensive talents. This is exactly what has transpired and Guingamp have become this under type machine where too much negativity takes over. This squad should be scoring way too much but the tactics of the coach are too defensive. If Ajaccio weren’t missing two important defenders to suspension I would definitely look at backing under 2 goals here, or even consider the visitors +0.25. It will be hard for Ajaccio now though and maybe Guingamp can squeeze out a tight 1-0 or something. I’m not expecting a classic by any means and this could go either way.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Pau v Grenoble Preview (21/11/20)

Match Preview

Pau

  • Found some form after winning 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 goals in the process
  • Only 1 home defeat out of 4 so far
  • Centre back Antoine Batisse is suspended
  • Most of the rest of the squad largely injury free

Grenoble

  • Won 5 out of the 8 games they’ve played this season
  • Away form not so good with 3out of 4 defeats
  • No suspensions and the injury list is small

Conclusion & Betting analysis

I have a feeling that Pau might be underestimated a bit here. They have actually played some decent football in recent weeks and the 4-1 victory vs Niort was especially impressive. This is a team suddenly creating chances and actually taking them fairly regularly. You almost feel there is more in the tank and on the counter attack pacey players like Sabaly and Assifuah are worth watching. Grenoble will probably be a tougher test than most of what they’ve faced recently though. The visitors have two games in hand and if they won them would actually sit 2nd in the table. I suspect Pau DNB and over 2 goals is overpriced but let’s just watch and see what happens.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Amiens v Clermont Preview (21/11/20)

Match Preview

Amiens

  • Following an initial ‘new manager bounce’ Amiens have now lost their last two matches
  • One of the worst attacks in the division scoring just 6 goals
  • Defensively solid but left back Sanasi Sy is suspended and a couple of centre backs, Wague and Opoku are rated doubtful
  • Key midfielder Alexis Blin is another suspension

Clermont

  • Second best away record and have won 3 out of 5 on the road this season
  • With just 6 goals conceded, Clermont have the best defensive record out of anyone
  • Attacker David Gomis returns form injury and they are at full strength 
  • No suspensions and no injuries to worry about

Conclusion & betting analysis

It’s a sign of the times that Clermont are actually an away favourite facing one of the relegated teams from Ligue 1. But this is probably a fair price. They are definitely the better team and in better form. A lot of factors are with them here and I could see this ending up a 0-1 or 0-2 away victory. Amiens are a tricky side to predict though and capable of anything. They are still under relatively new management so could be a bit of a wildcard. There’s still some good quality within the squad so I think overall this match is best left avoided, even if I do think Clermont emerge victorious.

Prediction: 0-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Niort v Dunkerque Preview (21/11/20)

Match Preview

Niort

  • Third in the league and unbeaten at home this season
  • Higher scoring matches recently including a 1-4 loss, 2-2 draw and 4-3 victory
  • Creative midfielder Valentin Jacob still ruled out injured
  • 4th choice keeper Yanis Maronne on the bench today

Dunkerque

  • After a solid start to the season have now lost 5 of their last 7 games
  • Defensive duo Aliou Ba & Harouna Sy both ruled out of this game
  • Striker Billy Ketkeo still on the sidelines with injury
  • Mixed away record with 2 wins and 3 defeats so far
  • 7 of their 10 games have contained exactly one goal this season

Conclusion & Betting analysis

I think both teams will probably fancy winning the game. Niort are a tough side to judge because at the start of the season they seemed to rely on defence to propel them through games. However, in recent weeks their matches have been far more open and wild and they’ve shown a surprising goalscoring touch. Dunkerque meanwhile, are more negative merchants who tend to be fairly conservative. They tend to look quite toothless in attack at times and I think betting against them here is a good idea. Niort are the better team anyway and seem quite comfortable in their own surroundings this season. The -0.25 handicap on the hosts is pretty decently priced around the even money mark and I see them edging this game something like 1-0 or 2-0.

Prediction: 2-0

Recommended bet: Niort -0.25 Asian Handicap @1.98

France Ligue 2 – Paris FC v Auxerre Preview (21/11/20)

Match Preview

Paris FC

  • 7 points clear at the top of the table and won 8 out of 10 games
  • Key men Gaetan Laura (ATT) & Lalaina Nomenjanahary (CM) both ruled out injured
  • Left back Ali Abdi is suspended
  • Kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games

Auxerre

  • Up to 6th in the table but been inconsistent this season - failing to win consecutive matches at any time
  • Lost 2 out of 4 away matches
  • Attacker Kevin Fortune is the only injury but he doesn’t always start anyway
  • 14 goals conceded is one of the poorest records in the division

Conclusion & Betting analysis

I have been a regular backer of Paris FC this season but I think they could hit some troubled waters soon. Their fixture list for the remainder of November and December is pretty brutal and by Christmas I expect their seven point lead to be cut down. They have to face the likes of ESTAC, Grenoble, Sochaux and Toulouse and this clash vs Auxerre today will be far from easy. It is actually a battle between the two highest scoring teams in Ligue 2 but I suspect Paris FC will miss striker Gaetan Laura who is injured. Auxerre, despite their inconsistencies are one of the best sides in the league and are definitely capable of winning. I have noticed a few signs of Paris FC wavering recently. Both Pau and Caen could have left this venue with points had they taken their chances and even the 1-0 success at Dunkerque was slightly unconvincing. I am certainly not writing off Paris FC but I see a draw or an away victory today. An over 2.5 match wouldn't surprise me.

Prediction: 1-2

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Valenciennes v Rodez Preview (21/11/20)

Match Preview

Valenciennes

  • A wild victory 5-4 away at Toulouse last time out was their first in five matches
  • Usually quite reliable defensively and the Toulouse match a freak exception for goals
  • Decent home record and won 3 out of 5 at Le Stade de Hainault
  • Key wing back Laurent Dos Santos still injured, but he is the only major absentee

Rodez

  • Lost 4 of their last 5 games and have the worst away record in the league
  • Key striker Ugo Bonnet is ruled out injured along with CM Aurelien Tertereau
  • Defensive duo Yohan Roche & Joris Chougrani both suspended
  • 2nd worst defensive record in Ligue 2

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Valenciennes are usually an under 2.5 machine so it was a big shock to see them involved in a wild 5-4 victory at Toulouse last time out. Defender Joffrey Cuffaut scored an incredible four goals as his set play ability was crucial. I expect things to revert back to the norm and VAFC put in a more solid display here. This looks to be a good time to be facing a Rodez side without their best striker and missing other players to injury and suspension. RAF are out of form right now and don’t look great. Valenciennes won this fixture 1-0 last season and I could see something similar again. Backing the home side on a -0.25 handicap around 1.90 looks like a good price to me.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: Valenciennes -0.25 Asian Handicap @1.91

France Ligue 2 – Chambly v Toulouse Preview (21/11/20)

Match Preview

Chambly 

  • Bottom of the table with just 1 win all season. Lost 4 of their last 5
  • Four players suspended which doesn’t help their cause.
  • #1 keeper Simon Pontdeme and regular starters Anthony Soubervie (RB) along with the midfield duo Derrien & Beaulieu will all miss out
  • With 20 goals conceded, Chambly have the worst defensive record in the league
  • 4 out of 5 home defeats

Toulouse

  • Wild 4-5 defeat at home to Valenciennes last time out snapped a 7 game unbeaten streak
  • Toulouse had conceded just 2 goals in that stretch prior to that loss, which could prove to be just a one off freak
  • Midfielder Stijn Spierings is suspended and attacker Koulouris unavailable
  • Won back to back away games by the same exact 1-0 scoreline

Conclusion & Betting analysis

As long as Toulouse have recovered mentally from their ridiculous 4-5 loss to Valenciennes they should be able to get the job done here. Chambly are one of the worst sides in the division and their home record in particular is especially concerning. In fairness to Chambly they actually played well and deserved to draw 2-2 at Troyes last time out. But ESTAC were overconfident and allowed them plenty of space, something I can’t see Toulouse doing here. The visitors just have better physical and technical strength and I could see them winning something like 1-0 or 2-0 in a professional manner. Odd of 2.06 on the nose for TFC are good enough for me in a match where their extra class should tell. 

Prediction: 0-2

Recommended bet: Toulouse -0.5 Asian Handicap @2.06

France Ligue 2 – Le Havre v Caen Preview (21/11/20)

Match Preview

Le Havre

  • Inconsistent team who rely more on defence than attack
  • Just 9 goals scored in 10 games has been an achilles heel
  • Return of key striker Jamal Thiare is a major boost ahead of this game
  • Two attackers, Quentin Cornette & Goodwin Bentil tested positive for COVID and will miss out

Caen

  • Lack of goals also a problem for Caen with only 9 scored in 10 matches
  • Lost their last 3 away games and struggled on the road
  • Key centre back Anthony Weber suspended along with CM Alexis Beka Beka
  • #1 GK Remy Riou returns from injury and speedster in attack Caleb Zady is now fit

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Big Normandie derby between two traditional and fierce rivals. This is one of those fixtures in which we will badly miss the crowds and it will be interesting and weird to see how things play out. I suspect this might be a tight sort of game because the main strength of both outfits is with organisation and defence. I rate Caen as the better team overall and are probably the more likely to win. I think the bookmakers have this match about right with both sides roughly on a DNB handicap. The over/under line set between 1.75 and 2 feels quite accurate as well. I could see this being a draw either 0-0 or 1-1.

Prediction: 0-0

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Chateauroux v Sochaux Preview (21/11/20)

Match Preview

Chateauroux

  • Lost three consecutive matches and find themselves in the relegation zone
  • Had problems with COVID before the international break but things seem to have settled
  • Fullback Chaker Alhadur is injured
  • Home record is poor losing 3 out of 5 games

Sochaux

  • After an unbeaten start to the season have now won just 1 of their last 8 games
  • Midfielder Ousseynou Thioune suspended for four matches for biting an opponent
  • Unbeaten away from home with 4 out of 5 draws
  • Conceded just 1 goal on their travels so far

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Sochaux were involved in a wild 3-4 defeat at home to Niort just before the international break but this isn’t really typical of them. On the road manager Omar Daf tends to set them up in a defensive formation in which they are more focused and disciplined. I am not expecting a classic here and the obvious bet would be some sort of under. However, we are still adjusting to playing matches behind closed doors and I am wary of games becoming more open than normal. I could see a draw 0-0 or 1-1.

Prediction: 0-0

Recommended bet: None