Category Archives: Ligue 2

France Ligue 2 – Nimes v Ajaccio Preview (18/10/21)

Match Preview

Nimes

  • After a good start to the season, Nimes are now 6 games without a win
  • No clean sheet and 10 goals conceded in last 5 matches
  • 1-3-1 home record - have drawn quite a lot of fixtures here
  • 3 suspended players - Cubas (CM), Kone (ATT) & Doucoure (ATT)
  • Key midfielder Lamine Fomba and #1 keeper Bratveit are both injured

Ajaccio

  • After going unbeaten in first 9 games Ajaccio have lost consecutive fixtures
  • Failed to score goal in their last three league matches
  • Drawn 3 out of 5 away from home
  • Several injuries in midfield and attack. Laci, Cahbrolle & Barreto the most significant
  • Key defender Ismael Diallo is suspended

Conclusion

Both teams started the season well but have dropped off form recently. In the case of Nimes it has been an alarming decline with no win in any of their last 6 games. They have a small squad which will be tested even more tonight with several injuries and suspensions to deal with. The one area which they aren’t decimated is in defence so maybe they can recapture some of their early season form where clean sheets were more of a regularity. Nimes have only lost one home game all season vs Le Havre, who are no mugs.

It is difficult to say exactly what has gone wrong for Ajaccio. They looked like a well oiled machine but then lost the derby match vs Bastia 0-2. They followed it up with a shock 0-1 home loss to Quevilly-Rouen which would have been a major disappointment. Ajaccio also have several absences for this match and have similar squad issues that they generally lack depth.

The bookmakers have placed Nimes as slight DNB favourites around the 1.80 mark. This is probably a fair and accurate reflection. The goal line is as low as 1.75 and this also looks spot on. I am not expecting a classic here and 0-0 or 1-1 is a major contender. Considering the amount of absences on both sides this is a clear no bet match in my opinion.

Prediction: 0-0

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Valenciennes v Dunkerque Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Valenciennes

  • After a tough start to the season 3 consecutive wins has put them back on track
  • Home record poor with just 1 win out of 5 and 3 defeats
  • 4 out of 5 home games ended with over 2.5 goals is the most in the league
  • Striker Baptiste Guillaume and midfielder Julien Masson are both injured

Dunkerque

  • Consecutive victories have moved them up to 9 points in the table
  • Poor away record with 3 out of 5 defeats
  • 3 regular starters are suspended
  • Alioune Ba (CB), Thomas Vannoye (CB) & Bilal Brahimi (AM) all banned

Conclusion

This is somewhat of a derby match between two teams from the north of France.  Only 1hr 20 mins separates the two clubs and there could definitely be an interesting sport of edge and atmosphere for this fixture. Valenciennes seem to have found some good form with 3 straight wins - albeit not always convincing. They are a slightly tempting price around the 2.15 mark here. I think they are the better side but Dunkerque will also have their tails up after firing back to back wins.

Dunkerque will probably come here with a defensive gameplan and overall I suspect that this will end in a fairly low scoring match. Perhaps a 1-0 either way is the most likely outcome although for these derby matches you never quite know what will happen. Often the best thing is just to leave them alone from a betting perspective and just watch and see.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Rodez v Sochaux Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Rodez

  • After a good start to the season they have now lost 3 of their last 4 games
  • Drawn 3 out of 5 home games and are known for obtaining high % of draws
  • Under 2.5 goals in 4 of last 5 games
  • Squad in perfect condition with no injuries or suspensions

Sochaux

  • Up to 2nd place with 7 out of 11 wins
  • Good away record and have a strong track record on the road under Omar Daf
  • Under 2.5 goals in 8 out of 11 fixtures
  • Midfield duo Weissbeck & NDiaye both suspended
  • Lopy, Kaabouni & young star Alan Virginius all injured

Conclusion

The goal line is 1.75 for this match and it’s no surprise. I am expecting a very low scoring, tight sort of content devoid of many chances. If Sochaux were at full strength then I would have considered backing them. They are a great away side but missing key captain Gaetan Weissbeck is hardly ideal. In fact, their whole midfield is kind of decimated without Ndiaye, Lopy or Kaabouni. 

It should be easier for Rodez to win the midfield battle today and that could actually be a key factor and actually give RAF the edge. If either team is to win then I would say they are perhaps the most likely. A 0-0 draw is very possible but my own prediction will be 1-1 here. It feels very much like a drawish type of game anyway in which both sides would probably accept a point.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Quevilly-Rouen v Niort Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Quevilly-Rouen

  • Just 1 loss in their last 6 games has QRM riding as high as 8th
  • Regular starters in midfield Kalidou Sidibe and Gustavo Sangare both suspended
  • Attackers Duckens Nazon & Ottman Dadoune both injured
  • Yet to win at their own stadium this season - only ‘home’ win was on neutral turf

Niort

  • Inconsistent side with a bunch of mixed results this season
  • Haven’t been as strong on the road with just 1 win in 6 games
  • Their away fixture list has been quite difficult - worth factoring in
  • Squad looking quite healthy with only long term absences ruled out

Conclusion

This is another match in which I quite fancy a few goals. Quevilly-Rouen have performed surprisingly well this season and their mercenary type signings to boost the squad have worked out reasonably well so far. Their matches can be difficult to predict because they range from boring 0-0 draws to entertaining 2-2 fixtures. It all depends what sort of style and tactic they opt for on the day. Against the bigger clubs with higher reputation then QRM usually park the bus more and try to defend their way to some points. However, this should be a fixture they really fancy taking 3 points out of so I think they will open up more.

Niort are another very up and down team who should also fancy taking the victory. On paper, this is a very winnable game for both teams and considering that each side is currently situated in a nice midtable position there shouldn’t be any fear of losing. Niort have had some very difficult away games this year and this is their easiest since the second round when they won at Dunkerque 2-1. The over 2.25 line is a very generously priced 2.10 and I am happy to take those odds. I think someone will win the game 2-1 and just sense this is the type of game which will produce quite a lot of chances.

Prediction: 1-2

Recommended bet: Over 2.25 goals @2.10

France Ligue 2 – Pau v Paris FC Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Pau

  • Lost consecutive games and winless in four fixtures
  • 3-1-2 home record has been a reasonable start. Tend to be quite strong here
  • Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 games
  • Midfielder Nisic (inj) and attacker Dianessy (susp) aren’t available, but might not have started anyway

Paris FC

  • After a strong start to the season they have now lost 4 of their last 6 games
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches
  • CB Ousmane Kante is suspended
  • On loan from Strasbourg, Mayhem Siby is included in the squad for the first time

Conclusion

Both teams seem to have lost their way after what was a positive start to the season. Pau dropped some silly points vs the likes of Valenciennes and Dunkerque and need to work on taking their chances better. They are a dangerous home side and I am surprised to see them as the outright underdog here on a DNB handicap. There's a temptation to back Pau but I prefer to take over 2.25 goals. 

Several Paris FC games have ended under 2.5 this year but if we look closely many of those encounters could have ended over on another day with 4 fixtures containing exactly two goals. The style both teams play should lead to plenty of chances here, the question is how many are converted. Neither side is clinical enough at times for my liking but there is enough quality out there to deliver an over in my opinion. I think Pau could take the win something like 2-1 but a 2-2 draw or a Paris win the other way is equally possible.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: Over 2.25 goals @1.91

France Ligue 2 – Nancy v Guingamp Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Nancy

  • They remain the only winless team in Ligue 2 with 5 draws and 6 defeats
  • Interim coach Benoit Pedretti remains in charge whilst their managerial search continues
  • Decent 1-1 draw just before the international break showed some promise
  • Saliou Ciss (LB) and Abdoulhamid El Kaoutari (inj) are the two main absentees

Guingamp

  • 2-1 win vs Rodez just before the international break has them up to 13th place
  • Results generally inconsistent and capable of blowing very hot or cold
  • Lost just once away from home so far
  • Two suspensions to regular starters - Diarra (CM), and Pierrot (ATT)

Conclusion

Nancy are the only side yet to taste victory this season and I suspect they will be strongly fired up to try and end their drought here. Caretaker manager Benoit Pedretti seems to have added calm to the squad and all the noises coming out of the Nancy camp seem positive since Daniel Stendel was sacked. Their search for a new permanent manager is ongoing but it doesn’t mean they can’t play well here. Of course, when things are more uncertain it makes it harder to predict though.

Guingamp are a strange team who I find very difficult to forecast this year. They are missing two key players to suspension with midfielder Souleymane Diarra especially a big loss. It really depends which version of Guingamp actually shows up. They beat both Auxerre and Paris FC on the road this year, but also lost to the likes of Niort and failed vs Quevilly Rouen. Nothing interests me from a betting point of view but I have a feeling Nancy might surprise everyone by winning.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Dijon v Amiens Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Dijon

  • After winning three straight games, Dijon have now lost twice consecutively
  • Generally playing much better football under new coach Patrice Garande
  • Under 2.5 goals in 5 out of 6 games since the new coach took over
  • Ecuele Manga (CB) and Deaux (CM) affected by COVID and veteran playmaker Phillipotteaux injured

Amiens

  • With just 1 win all season Amiens are situated inside the relegation zone
  • Have drawn a massive 6 of their last 7 fixtures
  • Striker Abdoul Kader Bamba suspended again
  • Attacker Mathieu Dossevi and Aliou Badji remain injured

Conclusion

Both of these teams expected to be challenging for promotion this season but unfortunately the opposite has occurred so far. Dijon had a terrible start to the campaign but the introduction of Patrice Garande as new coach helped turn around their fortunes. They won three straight games before losing (unluckily) to Valenciennes and then going down 0-2 away to in-form Le Havre. Dijon have a few key absentees today such as Bruno Ecuele Manga and Romain Phillipotteaux. 

Much more was expected of Amiens under the management of Phillipe Hinschberger this year. I am not sure exactly what has been going wrong. Amiens have drawn a lot of fixtures and maybe they should have won a couple more games, but the fact remains this team is unconvincing. On paper, there is enough quality for them to be producing better results and it feels like everyone is waiting for them to wake up. I think a close Dijon win or a draw is the most likely outcome. I will predict 1-1 but this is a tough game to call.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Caen v Le Havre Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Caen

  • Out of form with just 1 win in last 7 games
  • Have lost 4 of their last 5 home encounters
  • Still several injuries across the squad. Midfielder Franklin Wadja the latest casualty
  • 4 out of 6 home games ended with over 2.5 goals

Le Havre

  • Up to 4th place after 3 straight wins. Have lost just once all season
  • Unbeaten and conceded just one goal on the road so far
  • 9 out of 11 games ended with under 2.5 goals - the joint most in the league
  • Converted fullback Nolan Mbemba remains the only significant injury

Conclusion

Here we have a big match between two huge rivals for the Normandie derby! With fans now back then this is the type of fixture which could really kick off , maybe even with some crowd trouble. It should in theory help Caen but they have really struggled at home this season. Injuries have been a big problem for Stephane Moulin’s men and at least half a dozen starters are on the sidelines. 

I am expecting quite a tight game. Local derbies like this often are like that but Le Havre are such a solid sort of team that it will be difficult for Caen to penetrate them anyway. From a footballing perspective, Paul Le Guen has them playing very well and organised right now. I am not going to bet on this game but Le Havre DNB or +0.25 certainly has some appeal. Maybe the home crowd can make a big difference though and the formbook always has to be ignored in games like this.

Prediction: 0-1

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Bastia v Grenoble Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Bastia

  • 0-2 loss away to Dunkerque before the international break has them down in 16th place
  • New coach Regis Brouard takes charge of his first game here
  • Unbeaten at home with 4 draws and 1 win
  • All 5 home games ended with under 2.5 goals
  • LB Quemper (susp) and midfielder Talal (inj) both ruled out

Grenoble

  • Unbeaten in 3 straight games, their most consistent run of the season
  • Worst away record in the league with 4 defeats and 1 draw
  • Scored just 2 away goals all season
  • Key midfielders Perez (susp) & Ravet (personal) both miss out 

Conclusion

Tough one here because Bastia have a new manager in Regis Brouard. He isn’t a coach I have ever rated that highly but he is no mug and should be able to do a serviceable job. Brouard is often too negative for my liking but that could actually suit him here at Bastia where fans will lap up 1-0 wins. Bastia are always tough to beat at home where they are cheered on by passionate supporters in a hostile environment. That does not bode well for Grenoble who have struggled mightily away from home this year. They simply haven’t travelled very well but did at least draw 1-1 away to Rodez in their previous road trip. Grenoble have shown signs of improvement recently so I wouldn’t totally rule them out here. I think 1-0 or a low scoring draw is likely. Bastia around the 2.05 mark doesn’t interest me as a bet so I will happily leave this alone.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None

France Ligue 2 – Toulouse v Auxerre Preview (16/10/21)

Match Preview

Toulouse

  • Dropped points in their last two games has seen their lead cut at the top of the table
  • Won 7 out of 11 matches and lost just once this season
  • Their matches average a total of 2.8 goals per game, the highest of any team in the league
  • Two key suspensions to regular starters in midfield - Spierings & Dejaegere
  • Centre back Anthony Rouault still injured

Auxerre

  • Unbeaten in last 6 games and lost just once all season
  • Draws have been a hindrance - all square in 3 of last 4 league matches
  • Big injury problems in midfield with several regular starters ruled out
  • Key playmaker Hamza Sakhi and versatile Alexandre Coeff the most notable absentees
  • 6 out of 11 matches ended with over 2.5 goals is the most in the league

Conclusion

I don’t usually like betting an over 2.5 at an odds-on price in Ligue 2 but this is a rare instance where I think it makes sense. These two teams have the most overs in the league and it just feels like the sort of clash which will accommodate goals. Both sides are missing key regular starters in midfield and it will be interesting to see who copes best. If Toulouse were at full strength then I would strongly consider backing them around the 2.05 mark because Auxerre are lacking depth in the middle of the park.

We know that Auxerre will always offer a counter attacking threat on the road under Jean Marc Furlan. With Gaetan Charbonnier upfront they will always have a 3 dimensional scoring threat as well. I suspect Toulouse will probably win this match something like 2-1 or 3-1. Both league meetings ended in a 3-1 scoreline last season and I just don’t see this heading in a defensive direction. The price of 1.94 is not anything special for a French Ligue 2 game but I am happy to make an exception. 1-1 would be a potential danger scoreline but I’ll take that risk.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals @1.94