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France Ligue 2 – Round 5 (26-28 Sept)

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Round 5
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Time (GMT)
Saturday 26th September
14:00
Ajaccio
vs
Sochaux
18:00
Toulouse
vs
Auxerre
18:00
Amiens
vs
Pau
18:00
Chambly
vs
Chateauroux
18:00
Guingamp
vs
Grenoble
18:00
Nancy
vs
Le Havre
18:00
Niort
vs
Paris FC
18:00
Rodez
vs
Dunkerque
18:00
Valenciennes
vs
Caen
Monday 28th September
19:45
Troyes
vs
Clermont

Eliteserien – Betting Record August 2020

August key stats:-
Staked: 19pts
Profit: +1.07
Yield: 5.6%

This was an 'all or nothing' month with 10 winners, 1 half winner and 8 full losers. It's fairly unusual for me not to have any pushes, half losses and just one half win during a typical calendar month. Brann cost me twice, as did a couple of under bets that went way over. +1.07 was probably a fair outcome and acceptable profit for this month. It has been a solid season so far and I managed to build on the awesome July. Hopefully can keep up the momentum as the autumn approaches.

Date Match Bet Result
30/8/20 Viking v Molde Over 3.5 goals @1.86 WIN +0.86
30/8/20 Rosenborg v Stabaek Over 3 goals @1.86 WIN +0.86
30/8/20 Odd v Mjøndalen Under 2.75 goals @1.93 LOSE -1
29/8/20 Brann v Strømsgodset Brann -0.75 @1.93 LOSE -1
22/8/20 Vålerenga v Sandefjord Vålerenga -0.75 @1.90 HALF WIN +0.45
22/8/20 Strømsgodset v Viking Over 3.25 goals @1.90 LOSE -1
22/8/20 Kristiansund v Sarpsborg Kristiansund -0.25 @1.92 WIN +0.92
22/8/20 Aalesund v Haugesund Over 2.75 goals @1.93 WIN +0.93
22/8/20 Molde v Odd Over 3 goals @1.84 LOSE -1
16/8/20 Rosenborg v Aalesund Over 3.5 goals @2.01 WIN +1.01
16/8/20 Sandefjord v Bodø/Glimt Over 3.5 goals @2.01 LOSE -1
16/8/20 Brann v Mjøndalen Brann -0.75 @1.93 LOSE -1
9/8/20 Rosenborg v Sarpsborg Under 2.5 goals @1.90 LOSE -1
9/8/20 Mjøndalen v Haugesund Under 2.25 goals @1.93 WIN +0.93
9/8/20 Kristiansund v Start Kristiansund -0.5 @1.60 WIN +0.60
9/8/20 Aalesund v Viking Over 3.25 goals @1.83 WIN +0.83
8/8/20 Vålerenga v Bodø/Glimt Over 3.25 goals @1.84 WIN +0.84
5/8/20 Molde v Start Over 3.25 goals @1.84 WIN +0.84
1/8/20 Sandefjord v Molde Molde -1.25 @1.91 LOSE -1

Norway Eliteserien – Haugesund v Strømsgodset (16/8/20)

Match Preview

Both sides have been up and down this season and been a bit underwhelming at times. As a result, this is a battle between 11th and 12th in the table. Huagesund looked like they were returning to form after beating both Rosenborg and Stabaek but then fell to a 0-1 defeat at Mjøndalen last week. That match kind of summed up their problems this season which have mostly been offensively based. Key man Ibrahima Wadji could return from injury this week and it would be a boost to have his presence upfront. Kallman is injured and in my personal opinion Ammitzboll simply isn’t effective enough. Kristoffer Velde scored a hat trick in their last home game vs Stabaek but that could prove to be a flash in the pan. More consistency is needed from him. The one area that Haugesund are strong is defensively. If you take out their freak 6-1 drubbing at Glimt they have only conceded 12 goals in the other 12 games combined which is excellent.

Strømsgodset have a different problem in that they can’t stop conceding goals. Only Aalesund have shipped in more at the back and four of those came in the shocking 3-4 home loss to Sandefjord last week. SIF won’t know how they managed to contrive to lose that game because they had more than enough chances to secure the 3 points. They need to be more clinical in attack because they’ve only kept once clean sheet all season, which was way back in round two. It’s for that reason which makes me give Haugesund the edge here. They can probably keep it tight and they have by far the better defence. I don’t see this being a classic sort of game and something like 1-0 or 1-1 seems likely. Haugesund -0.5 tempted me but their price isn’t quite high enough. Likewise, under 2.75 felt like a possible bet but I just don’t trust that Godset defence to keep it tight.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None

Eliteserien Betting Record 2019

All bets are 1 unit stake unless otherwise stated. For full and detailed list of selections then click on the specific month below.

Month Bets Staked P/L Yield
June 2019 6 6 -3.43 -57.1%
July 2019 8 8 +0.68 8.5%
August 2019 14 14 -1.75 -12.5%
September 2019 14 14 -3.11 -22.2%
October 2019 11 11 +1.24 11.2%
November 2019 9 9 +4.04 44.88%
December 2019 4 4 -0.38 -9.5%
OVERALL 66 66 -2.71 -4.1%

Last update - end of season

Overall season assessment

I returned to produce match previews and analysis for Eliteserien matches in June. Unfortunately, from then until the end of the season I produced a loss. Most of the damage was done in 2 months, June & September. However, a very strong finish makes me optimistic again for the future. I hope that all readers enjoyed by Norway previews this season and helped with some winners. I'll be back in 2020 again for a full campaign and with a target of +10-15 units overall.

Eliteserien – Betting Record June 2020

June key stats:-
Staked: 13pts
Profit: +0.14
Yield: 0.10%

Eliteserien betting returned with what was effectively a level month, albeit slightly small profit. There were some good winners and a couple of frustrating pushes with the Glimt - Sarpsborg game. It is something to build on ahead of a long summer ahead at least.

Date Match Bet Result
28/6/20 Brann v Rosenborg Under 2.25 goals @2.06 LOSE -1
28/6/20 Strømsgodset v Aalesund Over 3 goals @1.95 LOSE -1
28/6/20 Molde v Stabaek Under 3 goals @1.99 WIN +0.99
28/6/20 Bodø/Glimt v Sarpsborg Over 3 goals @1.95 PUSH 0
28/6/20 Bodø/Glimt v Sarpsborg Bodø/Glimt -1 @1.98 PUSH 0
27/6/20 Start v Odd Over 2.75 goals @1.98 WIN +0.98
25/6/20 Rosenborg v Bodø/Glimt Over 2.75 goals @1.96 WIN +0.96
24/6/20 Odd v Vålerenga Vålerenga +0.25 @ 1.88 LOSE -1
24/6/20 Start v Molde Molde -0.75 @1.84 HALF WIN +0.42
21/6/20 Strømsgodset v Odd Over 2.5 goals @1.82 LOSE -1
21/6/20 Sandefjord v Start Under 2.5 goals @1.98 LOSE -1
21/6/20 Bodø/Glimt v Haugesund Bodø/Glimt -0.75 @2.01 WIN +1.01
20/6/20 Mjøndalen v Sarpsborg Under 2.5 goals @1.78 WIN +0.78