Tippeligaen – Odd v Viking Preview (24/7/16)


Odd preview

Fagermo’s men have been doing really well this season and become the nearest challengers to Rosenborg. They have suffered a tough recent period though in the league and in Europe. Disappointingly, they got knocked out of the Europa League on Thursday night against Greek side Giannina. Odd knew they were up against it but managed to win 3-0 to take the match into extra time. However, in that period they conceded a fateful away blow and got knocked out. This was a bitter blow for the club and a cruel way to depart the competition. I think the taxing schedule of Europe/League etc etc has hindered Odd. They looked fatigued when they travelled to Greece and also last weekend losing 1-2 away at Bodo Glimt. They have few injuries and no suspensions but the coach might be forced into player rotation, such has been the brutality of their schedule recently.

Viking preview

The visitors started off after the summer break well by beating Molde 1-0 on the road. But they’ve since slumped to disappointing losses against Godset & Haugesund. The 4-1 defeat against their local rivals last week was especially poor. The big problem that Viking have had this season is scoring goals. In total, they’ve only managed 16 in 16 games, which is actually one of the worst records in the entire league. Of course they haven't been helped by the sale of attacker Suleiman Abdullahi. Patrick Pedersen has been a bust signing upfront so far and Viking just generally struggle to convert chances. At least for this match they welcome back striker Samuel Adegbenro who was suspended last week. Viking still have statistically the best away record in the Tippeligaen, but two of their defeats have been really bad hammerings, 4-0 and 4-1

Conclusion & Betting analysis

I personally rate Odd as much the better side and they are deserving favourites. But this has been a really tough spell for them fixture wise and already we’ve seen them struggle physically in some encounters. I know I said this yesterday about Rosenborg, but that is a different case with the best team in Norway and who actually have better squad depth. Of course, it helps if you are progressing in Europe and that’s something that Odd didn’t do. It’s quite possible the hosts could be flat here, although on the contrary they might be extra motivated to make up for their disappointment. Viking have the potential to be solid and after conceding four goals last week I’d expect their emphasis to be on defence and keeping things tight. I think a low scoring home win or a draw is the most likely outcome here. If Odd don’t have a European hangover they might win comfortably. I don’t have a betting interest here. I feel it’s too risky to back Odd, whilst the goal line is set at 2.75 and seems about fair in this instance.

Prediction: 1-0
Recommended bet: None

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