Tippeligaen – Stromsgodset v Stabaek Preview (31/7/16)


Stromsgodset preview

Godset suffered an extremely disappointing 0-2 defeat away at Lillestrom last weekend. Most side have been walking all over LSK since the summer break, but the team from Drammen put in a stinker of a performance. This was probably the culmination of a hectic schedule in which they played in the Europa League and Tippeligaen simultaneously for a couple of weeks. The players really struggled on the back of extra time and it was probably a contributing factor. Godset are never very good away from home anyway. Here at Marienlyst Stadion they are a formidable beast though. They’ve won their last 8 consecutive fixtures in front of their own fans, scoring many goals in the process. It’s one of the toughest places to visit in Norway.

Stabaek preview

Stabaek have definitely looked much better since Billy McKinlay got sacked and Toni Ordinas took over. They remain unbeaten under Ordinas, although blew a 2-0 lead at Tromso last week. Stabaek played really well for an hour but just couldn't resist the barrage of pressure which came their way in the last 20 mins. Nevertheless, a point up at Tromso is never a bad result and it’s clear the squad is enjoying life much better. There’s more confidence in their ranks and everyone seems comfortable with Ordinas’ tactics. All of their results before he took over definitely need to be ignored. Under his guidance they are more free flowing again and look better going forwards. Important midfielder Kamal Issah is suspended for this encounter which is a bit of a blow. Fellow midfielder Cole Grossman missed last week’s game because of a head injury, so might be doubtful.

Conclusion & betting analysis

There are two bets I like in this game. The first is fairly obvious and Stromsgodset -1. They've won 8 consecutive matches at Marienlyst and if they maintain that run then the worst you'd get out of this bet is a push. I think this’ll be an offensive battle between two teams who are quite positive minded. Godset have been involved in a few lower scoring Tippeligaen matches recently, which is unusual for them. But I put it down to Europa League involvement. Everyone has had a full week of rest now so there shouldn't be any issues. Stabaek should come here and ‘have a go’, Ordinas has declared his intention to win as many matches as possible. Over 3 goals looks a decent bet when you consider the likely offensive nature of the game. I think something like a 3-1, 4-1 or even a 4-2 win for Godset is likely.

Prediction: 3-1
Recommended bet 1 unit: Stromsgodset -1 (asian) @ 1.84 (minimum odds acceptable 1.75)
Recommended bet 1 unit:Over 3 goals @ 1.96 (minimum odds acceptable 1.75)

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