France Ligue 1 – Bordeaux v Nantes Preview (28/8/16)


Bordeaux preview

Les Girondins won on the opening day, but suffered a humiliating setback against Toulouse last week, losing 1-4 against their Atlantic rivals. Now again, they face a team from the Atlantic coast, so they have a chance of redemption. Bordeaux have a new manager this season, Jocelyn Gourvennec. He achieved great things at Guingamp but this is a club with higher expectations and he’ll fully understand what a bad week is like here now following that loss. Centre back Nicolas Pallois is suspended today, whilst a few injuries are affecting the squad elsewhere. At the moment it’s really difficult to predict Bordeaux because they’ve shown two different faces.

Nantes preview

The visitors have opened up with a 1-0 win and a 1-0 loss. The hope for Les Canaris is that they’d be more entertaining now that Michel der Zakarian has departed, but not much seems to have changed under Rene Girard. Nantes really lacked in the final third last week, hardly creating anything against Monaco. It's clear the big strength of this side is going to be defensive solidity. Nantes have a few injury doubts to attacking players, but defence and midfield should be completely unchanged. I expect them to line up quite negatively and make themselves hard to break down.

Conclusion & betting analysis

The bookies look pretty spot on with their lines here. Bordeaux are on a -0.25 handicap and this seems pretty fair to me. Likewise, the over 2 goal line is exactly how I’d have set it too. I don’t expect this to be much of a classic. Both Bordeaux games have been high scoring under Gourvennec, but Nantes are a much more defensive team and are unlikely to want to get sucked into a shootout. They just haven't shown much offensively, whilst at the back also look hard to penetrate. It’s been noticeable how difficult it’s been for opponents to create clear cut chances. This match has the feeling of a draw and I expect a pretty close encounter, with not much between the two teams. From a betting point of view I see no edge and this game is best avoided.

Prediction: 0-0
Recommended bet: None