France Ligue 1 – Dijon v Lyon Preview (27/8/16)


Dijon preview

Les Rouges have started life in Ligue 1 with back to back defeats, both by a 0-1 scoreline. Their offense has struggled to create chances which is a far cry from the levels they were at in the second tier last year. In fairness to Dijon, they've faced two strong defensive teams in Nantes & Lille. Neither of those outfits gave them much of a sniff. Perhaps today against a more attacking Lyon then the newly promoted side might have more joy. They certainly won't have much success in the possession department, Lyon will dominate that area. So the hosts will have to make the most of their counter attacking opportunities. Squad wise, they are at full strength minus Marvin Martin who’s yet to make an appearance.

Lyon preview

OL are also at full strength apart from Rachid Ghezzal who’s apparently injured, but additionally in the middle of a contract dispute. They have started the season with a 3-0 and a 2-0 win and generally looked like a very professional outfit. Their defence hasn’t been troubled much and many would suggest the same will happen again here. Star striker has scored all five of their goals and looked in sharp touch. Lyon didn’t blow away Caen last week and for the most part only led 1-0 for large periods. There was an element of control to their game and they know that they can ill afford to pass up on an opportunity to beat another promoted team.

Conclusion & betting analysis

Lyon should win this game, the question is exactly by how many goals? They are on a -0.75 asian handicap so would need to win by 2+ if you were to win your bet fully. In all reality, Les Gones should be claiming a comfortable success but Dijon have nothing to lose and I’m sure they’ll be anxious to at least score their first goal of the season. The OL backline will play much higher than any of their first two opponents, so it’s up to them to take advantage. I’m really torn with this match and I’m not sure what to back. OL were on a nice -0.25 handicap on the opening day of the season at Nancy, yet are now -0.5 @ 1.75. There’s not a lot of difference between Nancy & Dijon, so what’s changed? I think this will end up an away win and with over 2.5 goals, but I’m too scared to back either bet. I just feel like there’s an element of doubt with both and the prices too short. So I’ll sit this one out and probably regret not betting!

Prediction: 1-2
Recommended bet: None