France Ligue 2 – Brest v Orleans Preview (5/8/16)

Brest preview

The hosts were fortunate to escape GFC Ajaccio with a point last week. That was mostly thanks to the efforts of goalkeeper Johan Hartock who put in a blinding performance. That was always going to be a tricky affair though and to obtain a draw was a good outcome for them. It was obvious Brest are a ‘work in progress’ and it might take some time for this group of players to properly grasp Jean Marc Furlan’s system. He has promised an attacking breed of football this year, especially at home but a lot of chemistry between the players was absent last week. Team news is favourable for Brest with no injuries or suspensions to report. Everyone is looking forward to a new era under Furlan and it’ll be interesting to see if he delivers on his promise of attractive football.

Orleans preview

The newly promoted team got off to a losing start, going down 0-1 at home to title favourites Le Havre. This was no disgrace and they weren't massively outplayed, the big concern was how few major chances they created. Things are made even trickier here by the absence of key playmaker Karim Ziani & striker Romain Arnaud (both injured). On a more positive note, striker Kevin Dupuis is back from suspension, as is winger Greg Houla. At the back, the duo of Yahia & Pinaud are both absent again and probably would be starting if at full fitness. A number of Orleans fans just said it was ‘same old’ last week compared to the last time they were in Ligue 2. The team often seems devoid of ideas under Olivier Frapolli and will play ‘not to lose’, rather than to win.

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Neither side offered much going forwards last week so maybe we are set for another low scoring contest. Brest are now at home though, so I think we can expect a bit more from them. I personally can’t trust them yet, but Jean Marc Furlan has a habit of getting the required result at Ligue 2 level. At times, I think of him as a ‘lucky’ coach at this level and it’s not usually a good idea to go against him. Without Karim Ziani Orleans will lack even more creativity and it’s hard to see them scoring here. They’ll come looking for a 0-0 and maybe they’ll get it. But I would imagine at some stage Brest will get a good opportunity and could put it away. A tight home win is my prediction but taking Brest -0.25 doesn’t interest me. The risk of a draw seems too high and I need to see them deliver a good performance before I trust them enough.

Prediction: 1-0
Recommended bet: None

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