MLS – New England Revolution v Preview (13/8/16)


New England preview

The Revs are into the final of the US Open Cup after beating Chicago Fire 3-1 on Tuesday night. This was a great outcome for the club and something to really look forward to. Everyone should be in great spirits this weekend on the back of that result. Things could be going better for them in MLS though. They have lost both of their last two games heavily and now only sit inside the playoff places by virtue of goal difference. But maybe now the players are more relaxed they can generate a better performance tonight. New England have only lost two games at home all season and have won 3 of their last 4 at Gillette Stadium. This is a place nobody really likes to visit and the Revs are always historically strong here. Their injury situation is quite favourable and no key players are set to be missing.

Philadelphia preview

Philly were the Eastern Conference surprise package in the first half of the season but have since slipped off the rails a bit. No win in any of their last four games and just 2 in their last 9 has seen them drop as low as fifth in the east. This is still a decent position for the Union, who many expected to only challenge for the wooden spoon in 2016! However, after such a good start to the campaign it’s disappointing they’ve hit poor form during the mid season. Midfielder Brian Carroll is injured, but they don’t have any other main concerns fitness wise. There’s a chance Alejandro Bedoya might feature here. Recently signed from French Ligue 1 side Nantes, the American should be a class above most at MLS level and is a great addition. Philly have only won one away match all year and concede an average of two goals per game on their travels.

Conclusion & betting analysis

This looks set to be a wide open game between two old Eastern Conference rivals. The Revolution had to play extra time in midweek which might affect them physically and mentally. However, the high of reaching the US Open Cup final should help them in this regard and might even become irrelevant. This should be an open game of football. Most games involving both of these teams contain a lot of chances and many goals, Neither side is particularly good defensively and their best strengths are going forward. I’m surprised over 2.75 goals is available at such a decent price. A whopping 9 of the last 10 Philly games have all contained at least three goals in them and this is no fluke. I just think this is an obvious pick and I have no hesitation in pulling the trigger. In terms of match result, I’m not sure. But the Revs probably look a bit too short @ 1.95. Philly are too unreliable on the road to back though.

Prediction: 2-2
Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 2.75 goals @ 1.95 (minimum odds acceptable 1.75)

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