Tippeligaen – Stromsgodset v Start Preview (14/8/16)


Stromsgodset preview

SIF have gone off colour in the last few weeks, failing to win any of their last three games. They weren't helped by a hectic schedule which included a lot of Europa League matches and it seems like any momentum they had has been halted. However, now is an ideal chance to get back to winning ways facing the worst team in the league. Godset are an incredibly powerful home force, winning 8 out of 10 at Marienlyst Stadion, drawing the other two. SIF are a completely different force in front of their own fans and are usually constantly on the front foot. Guys like Pedersen, Keita & Abu have all drifted off form a bit in recent weeks. The offense needs to get back on track after drawing blanks in 2 of their last 3 games. There’s absolutely no excuse here though.

Start preview

The misery of Start continues. They actually led until nearly the hour mark last week against Odd, but eventually fell to another defeat (1-2). Start weren't that bad in the game but typically for them, they found a way to lose. Their situation is hopeless, 12 points adrift of safety and the OBOS-Ligaen is beckoning for them next season. All that;s left to play for now is pride, which could lead to some relaxed performances. I don’t think Start will be afraid of anyone at the moment and will probably come here with positive intentions. But when all is effectively lost, its difficult to retain intensity & motivation sometimes. Should they fall behind then it’s hard to see them having too much fight left. They haven't won a Tippeligaen match for well over a year, but it’d be a massive shock if they ended that run in this game.

Conclusion & betting analysis

Godset have struggled of late but this is the perfect opportunity to bounce back. I fully expect them to dominate right from the off and ultimately claim an easy win. Because they haven't won in three games I can’t see them getting complacent or anything. SIF are one of the best home teams in the league and I’d be surprised if Start got anywhere close. The visitors should at least be proactive though and might get on the scoresheet. There are two picks I like for this game. The first is Godset -1.5 and this is fairly self explanatory. They’ll win the game, it’s just a question of by how many. If Start stay within one goal then it’d be annoying, but logically this should be a victory by a 2 of 3 goal margin. I also like backing over 3.25 goals in the game. Godset ar capable of covering this line on their own but I think Start could score and contribute towards this bet. Something like 3-1 or 4-1 is my expected outcome and both bets look decent options.

Prediction: 4-1
Recommended bet 1 unit: Stromsgodset -1.5 @ 1.85 (minimum odds acceptable 1.70)
Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 3.25 goals @ 1.95 (minimum odds acceptable 1.80)

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