France Ligue 2 – Valenciennes v Lens Preview (24/9/16)

va-lensValenciennes preview

  • Only lost once so far this season but already racked up a massive 5 out of 8 draws.
  • Have a strong backline, keeping five clean sheets, although will have to do without key centre back Ahmed Kantari here because he’s injured.
  • He isn’t their only injury concern either. Key playmaker Sebastian Roudet and their best striker Nuno da Costa are also on the sidelines.
  • Played in a derby match against Amiens in midweek and operated quite defensively and we could see them do the same here.

Lens preview

  • Another team who have only lost once all season, but who have also obtained 5 out of 8 draws.
  • Were involved in a surprisingly high scoring encounter midweek, beating Orleans 4-2.
  • Look difficult to predict right now due the varying nature of their performances. A lot of new signings arrived late in the previous transfer window who are still settling in.
  • I personally feel like they are a better away side due to their major counter attacking threat.
  • No major injuries to worry about. The exact same squad is retained with the addition of left wing back Anthony Scaramozzino who was suspended in midweek.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Northern derby game between a couple of big rivals. Neither team will want to lose this one
  • Last season both sides won the away fixture 1-0 and a similar sort of tight encounter could develop.
  • Lens don’t deserve to be -0.25 away favourites here. This is too short. Valenciennes are hard to beat and need to be respected more.
  • However, due to the hosts missing a key player in all areas of the field, and the away strength that Lens possess, I feel it’d be too dangerous to get involved betting in this match.
  • I think a draw has a high likelihood of occurring and neither team will risk everything to win if this match if it’s level late on.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None