Tippeligaen – Stromsgodset v Odd Preview (25/9/16)

sif-oddStromsgodset preview

Godset have endured a horrible run in the Tippeligaen. The Drammen outfit have failed to win any of their last eight games and last week things really nosedived when they got hammered 4-2 at Aalesund. However, Godset should head into this match in better spirits. They reached the semi finals of the NM Cup midweek by beating Valerenga 2-0. With a good end to the season they could still potentially finish in a medal position but realistically the fire has been extinguished from their Tippeligaen campaign. Their best chance of success and European qualification lies in the cup. Perhaps that might clear their minds a bit and they can play with more freedom and open up. Left back Mounir Hamoud is suspended.

Odd preview

Odd have been really poor since the summer break, winning just two of their last nine games. Even those victories have to be taken with a pinch of salt because they were only facing lowly Start and Lillestrom. Remarkably, they are still in a medal position and a strong end to the season would likely see them finish as runners-up. But they need to snap out of this funk which has been going on for quite some time. It’s difficult to know exactly what the problem has been, they seem to have issues in all areas of the field. The defence has become less reliable, the midfield not as penetrating and the attack force goal shy at crucial moments.

Conclusion & betting analysis

Both of these teams are out of form in the league and desperately need a win here. I think Godset will have a big weight lifted off their shoulders thanks to their cup quarter final win and should approach the match positively. This is quite a high profile clash between two of the bigger and better teams in Norway and hopefully it’ll be exciting with chances at both ends. I’m not sure who’s going to win and the bookies agree. Godset are favourites on a DNB asian handicap, or for those feeling braver you could take them on a -0.25 handicap. I’m not going to take anything in this market because I genuinely see this as a real toss up, it’s a question of who takes their chances best. The overs do interest me though, especially as the line is set at 2.75 with generous odds. I just feel both will really go for it here and it could be a more open game than some expect. Therefore, I’m happy to pull the trigger on this pick and I think there’ll be at least three goals scored.

Prediction: 2-2

Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 2.75 goals @ 1.91