France Ligue 1 – Lille v Nancy Preview (1/10/16)

losc-asnlLille preview

  • Have had a shocking start to the season losing 5 out of 7 games. Nothing seems to be going right for Frederic Antonetti’s men.
  • Fullback Franck Beria is suspended, whilst the midfield duo of Nicolas de Preville & Mounir Obbadi are injured. Winger Ryan Mendes is doubtful.
  • For Lille to possess the joint worst defensive record in the ligue and to have obtained one clean sheet is quite remarkable. This is a side which on paper has great defensive strength and known for its solidity.
  • Confidence is low and they somehow need to grind out a result in this one.

Nancy preview

  • Have lost 4 out of 7 games and struggled to adapt in Ligue 1 following their promotion.
  • In recent weeks have moved into their shell and focused more on defensive organisation. I don’t think Nancy will be a pretty team this season.
  • Goal scoring has been a major problem, which is the opposite to their style from last year in Ligue 2.
  • Injuries are fairly few and far between. They haven’t been to blame and the coach has the majority of his players available for selection.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • This is a basement battle between 20th and 19th in the table. Neither side has been playing very well this season and there’s plenty of pressure on both.
  • That pressure is tenfold on Lille who are performing well below expectations. Coach Frederic Antonetti will be feeling the heat.
  • I expect this to be a very tight and tense match. Neither side is unlikely to open up too much.
  • Lille are generally an odds- on shot just to win, and this is too short when you consider how they’ve been playing.
  • That said, they should be able to beat Nancy. The gulf in class between the two squads is quite vast and it would be a big disappointment for Lille if they failed.
  • There is too much uncertainty surrounding both sides at the moment so I’m happy to leave this alone.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None