France Ligue 2 – Ajaccio v Reims Preview (14/10/16)

aca-sdrAjaccio preview

  • ACA are a good home side and have won 3 out of 5 at their own stadium so far this season. This place has always been a traditional fortress historically.
  • They will have to do without right back Anthony Lippini & playmaker Johan Cavalli due to suspension. Both are important and highly influential figures.
  • First choice keeper Riffi Mandanda is injured and will be replaced by Jules Goda. There isn’t that much difference between the two.
  • The Corsicans have kept only two clean sheets all season and just one since the opening game.
  • Their defence isn’t too bad but it seems like every game they let themselves down with a couple of crucial errors at the back.

Reims preview

  • Top of the table and have lost just once all season. Produced their best display so far by beating Auxerre 3-0 just prior to the international break.
  • However, Reims have yet to win on the road this season and have drawn 4 of out of 5 away games.
  • Usually set up hard to beat on their travels and coach Michel der Zakarian is known for his tactical strength.
  • Surprisingly, left back Samuel Bouhours isn’t included in the squad for tactical reasons. Bouhours has started all but one match this season and it’s likely the coach prefers Atila Turan in this position due to his extra speed and attacking threat.
  • Reims have no new injuries to worry about and their only other notable absentee is to midfielder Antoine Devaux, who has only started once so far this campaign anyway.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Reims are favourites on a DNB handicap @ around the 1.90 mark. This seems fair and perhaps slightly generous.
  • The visitors are much the better team and should have a strong edge with Ajaccio missing two key talisman.
  • However, Ajaccio are no mugs at home and can never be underestimated here. Nobody likes to travel to Corsica and Reims haven't looked great on the road this season.
  • I’m not expecting a classic and a low scoring contest is highly likely. The bookies recognise this fact and the goal line is set between 1.75 and 2.0.
  • I think Reims will sneak it, something like 1-0. But I will respect Ajaccio’s home record and refrain from betting. This could just as equally end up as a draw.

Prediction: 0-1

Recommended bet: None