Tippeligaen – Valerenga v Stabaek Preview (16/10/16)

vif-stabValerenga preview

  • Back to back defeats and just 1 win in their last 6 games has put the pressure back on Valerenga.
  • They are now only three points clear of the relegation zone and a defeat to Stabaek here would put them on level points!
  • Key striker Moa is suspended and it’s difficult to know who’ll replace him upfront. They lack quality striking options.
  • The rest of the squad, with the exception of some longer term casualties should all be available as Valerenga desperately need to find the form which they showed a couple of months ago.

Stabaek preview

  • Defeat to relegation rivals Lillestrom (1-2) at home a couple of weeks ago was a massive blow, but Stabaek have generally been trending upwards of late.
  • At the moment the main priority is to avoid automatic relegation but a victory here would drag loads of sides back into trouble.
  • Goalscoring has been a big problem for Stabaek this season but they have been more dangerous on the road this year, especially under coach Toni Ordinas.
  • The visitors have two injury doubts, to Daniel Granli (fullback) & Luc Kassi (CM). Everyone else should be available.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • This is a derby match from the Oslo region and there is a strong rivalry between the two teams. Expect a committed and passionate performance from both, and possibly a heated encounter.
  • Stabaek have won the last three meetings between the two sides and could be dangerous here, there is definitely more pressure on Valerenga.
  • The hosts are a short priced favourite around the 1.85 mark which is far too short in a match of this magnitude, especially as a draw wouldn't be a bad result for them.
  • I think this is such a tough match to predict and to bet on. My gut feeling is that Stabaek won’t lose and that it could be an over 2.5 fixture, but it’s fraught with danger.
  • I would say this will be a really interesting match to watch, but as a betting prospect pre game it’s the most sensible solution to stay away.

Prediction: 1-2

Recommended bet: None