France Ligue 2 – Auxerre v Nimes Preview (29/11/16)

Auxerre preview

  • AJA are in horrible form. They are rock bottom of the table after losing their basement battle with Tours on Friday night and the situation is bleak.
  • Auxerre have fewer wins, have scored least goals and have one of the worst defences in the division. New coach Cedric Daury won his first match in charge but has since suffered badly, going five without victory.
  • The big concern is how easily Auxerre are being outplayed. They fluked draws against Lens and Amiens but in all reality they've been played off the park in all of their last five games.
  • Centre back duo Remi Fournier & Baba Traore are both injured which is a blow. Both had been playing alright at least. Midfielder Samed Kilic and winger Alexandre Vincent are on the treatment table too.

Nimes preview

  • Les Crocos returned to form thanks to an excellent 3-0 win against Reims on Friday. Nimes lost at Orleans in their last away game, which also happened to be their first road defeat of the campaign.
  • In general, Bernard Blaquart’s men have been excellent away from home this year. Their strong counter attacking play and dangerous forwards make them a highly efficient unit on their travels.
  • The squad had been pretty settled recently, although defensive midfielder Larry Azouni is injured here and will miss out. Starting keeper Gauthier Gallon & centre back Fethi Harek are still missing, but Nimes have proven they can cope without those two.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • This is a battle between the worst home record vs the best away record. So will this go with the formbook and end up as a Nimes win? The simply answer is probably, yes.
  • Auxerre have been playing so badly I feel like they’d need a lot of luck to prevail here. Either goalkeeper Zacharie Boucher needs to have a blinder or the referee needs to help them out massively. Under normal circumstances I’d say Nimes would win this match quite comfortably.
  • They are quite simply the better side right now and have the offensive weapons to cause plenty of problems. Les Crocos average two goals per game on the road which is a superb return.
  • Nimes are DNB favourites around the 1.75 mark. I think this is worth backing. I don’t normally like taking away sides in France unless they are a top team or the value is massive. Sadly neither of those factors apply here, although Nimes are a strong team nevertheless.
  • Sometimes, the obvious bet is the right option. Auxerre are showing very little right now so it makes sense to oppose them. I also quite like the overs in this match but because Auxerre struggle so much in front of goal, I’ll just stick with Nimes.

Prediction: 1-2

Recommended bet 1 unit: Nimes DNB @ 1.79