France Ligue 2 – Lens v Ajaccio Preview (7/11/16)


Lens preview

  • The northern outfit have won 4 of their last 6 games and a victory here would put them close behind the leaders in the division.
  • Defender Kenny Lala is suspended, which is a blow. He’s been a mainstay of the backline this year, starting every fixture.
  • Lens were very impressive last Monday night, beating promotion rivals Brest 2-1 away from home. They have certainly been trending in the right direction recently.
  • Have a tendency to draw too many games at home and they must be careful not to drop points in this fixture.

Ajaccio preview

  • Suffered an incredibly disappointing defeat last week, 1-3 at home to Laval. This was a fixture they were expected to win fairly easily and their big strength is at home.
  • They have the second worst away record in Ligue 2, losing 4 out of 6 contests and scoring just two road goals all year. They are often very limited on their travels.
  • Squad condition isn't too bad with only Jordan Pierre Charles ruled out, along with first choice keeper Riffi Mandanda.
  • Coach, Olivier Pantaloni is likely to employ defensive tactics here and they probably won't show much ambition.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Lens really should be winning this sort of match. They are definitely the better side, the question is how easily can they break down what will likely be an Ajaccio brick wall.
  • The hosts are on a -0.75 line, which looks about fair. Whether or not they cover this I’m not sure. As a rule, it’s not usually a great idea to back these sort of handicaps in Ligue 2.
  • I rate Lens, but I think there are at least 2 or 3 sides better than them in the division. I don't fully trust them as a power side yet.
  • I’m not expecting much of a classic because one team will to play football and the other won’t. All things considered I think 1-0 is the most likely outcome, but I prefer to swerve betting on this contest. The risk of a 0-0 still lingers in my mind.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None