France Ligue 1 – Guingamp v Nantes Preview (3/12/16)

Guingamp preview

  • Defeat at home to Nice in midweek was their first in seven games. Antoine Kombouare’s side have been playing ok recently but always seem on the back foot.
  • They have been losing in all of their last four games with only 10 mins left. In previous contests they managed to come back and rescue points, but that wasn’t the case against Nice.
  • The loss was also their first at home this season when they’ve generally been strong. The squad is in good condition, minus the attacking duo of Marcus Coco & Sloan Privat who are injured.

Nantes preview

  • Les Canaris are in turmoil. The 0-6 home defeat to Lyon in midweek was the final act for coach Rene Girard. He’s now been sacked and youth team coach Philippe Mao takes charge temporarily.
  • Nantes have been turgid all season. The measly 9 goals they've scored in 15 games is downright appalling and by far the worst tally in the league.
  • Perhaps now that Girard has gone then the players might perform better. There is an overall real poor atmosphere at Nantes though, which extends off the field. This isn't a very nice environment at the moment.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • If Girard was still in charge then this would be an obvious bet on Guingamp. However, now he’s out of the picture then it might make Nantes more dangerous and bring about a significant improvement.
  • On paper, they shouldn't be where they are. Les Canaris are good enough to be a solid midtable outfit. It’s just a question of when they start to play properly again.
  • Just to complicate matters, this is Brittany derby. Ok, it’s not a particularly fierce one with great history, but it is nevertheless a regional contest in which passions could run high.
  • The logical pick is for Guingamp to win but in my experience it’s probably best to avoid betting on a game like this. Nantes could randomly surprise and they'll probably enjoy being away from home.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None