France Ligue 1 – Metz v Lyon Preview (3/12/16)

Metz preview

  • A midweek thrashing 0-4 away against local rivals Nancy is sure to have dampened morale in the camp. Metz were outplayed and the final scoreline embarrassing for the fans.
  • The defeat snapped a run of three unbeaten games. Metz have somehow managed to get themselves into midtable, but I think they have one of the worst, if not worst squad in the entire league.
  • Three games in the space of a week are going to test Les Grenats, and the injuries and suspensions are adding up. Key guys like Jouffre, Lejeune, Assou Ekotto and Erding will all miss this match. The physical condition of some other players is also in question.

Lyon preview

  • Les Gones come into the match on the back of a 6-0 thrashing of Nantes in midweek. A total of six different scorers found the back of the net so Lyon must be brimming with confidence ahead of this game.
  • Unsurprisingly, coach Bruno Genesio has decided to keep faith with the same bunch of players and no changes are made to the group. Injuries are at a minimum for Lyon.
  • With the exception of a 1-2 home defeat to PSG recently, OL have been in good form of late. They’ve picked up a number of decent wins both domestically and in Europe.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Both teams had contrasting results in midweek. Metz were dismantled by local rivals Nancy, whilst Lyon thumped Nantes 6-0. Based on those two results there can only be one outcome here surely?
  • In terms of quality, there is a big difference between the two sides. I would expect Lyon to dominate this contest and have too much for their opponents.
  • Metz aren’t a team I rate at all and this looks like the ideal time to be taking them on.
  • Backing Lyon on a -1 Asian handicap looks safe enough. At worst, they should win on the night but in all likelihood it’ll be a comfortable success.
  • This will probably be an over game too, but the goal line is set really high around the 3.0 mark. Metz might struggle to create many chances so I think it’s best just to stick with the Lyon pick.

Prediction: 0-3

Recommended bet 1 unit: Lyon -1 (asian) @ 1.98